Football · Poland III Liga · 01/08, 12:00
Prediction: Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Grom Nowy Staw1.37
Unia Swarzedz1.52
1X2
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw
Unia Swarzedz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grom Nowy Staw
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Unia Swarzedz
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grom Nowy Staw 1603 · Unia Swarzedz 1564
| Grom Nowy Staw | Draw | Unia Swarzedz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grom Nowy Staw | Unia Swarzedz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.5 | 2.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Czarni Polaniec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hetman Zamosc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JKS Jaroslaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Korona Kielce II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Moravia Morawica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Star Starachowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisloka Debica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grom Nowy Staw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | KTS-K Luzino Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Polonia Chodziez Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 17/06 | Pogon Mogilno Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski Poland IV Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Powisle Dzierzgon Poland IV Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Gedania Gdansk Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Gryf Wejherowo Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Stolem Gniewino Poland IV Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/04 | Anioly Garczegorze Poland IV Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/04 | Chojniczanka Chojnice II Poland IV Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
Unia Swarzedz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | KSS Kotwica Kornik Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Sokol Kleczew Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Lipno Steszew Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Elana Torun Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Unia Swarzedz win (40%). Probabilities: Grom Nowy Staw 34%, draw 26%, Unia Swarzedz 40%.
How many goals are expected in Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Grom Nowy Staw 1.37 · Unia Swarzedz 1.52), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Grom Nowy Staw vs Unia Swarzedz?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.