Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: Notec Czarnkow vs Chemik Bydgoszcz

Team pages: Notec Czarnkow · Chemik Bydgoszcz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Notec Czarnkow1.92

Chemik Bydgoszcz1.12

1X2

55% 24% 21%

Notec Czarnkow Draw Chemik Bydgoszcz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Notec Czarnkow 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLWDLW

Chemik Bydgoszcz 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDDDWLLL

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Notec Czarnkow (rating 1502 vs 1437).
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Notec Czarnkow	Chemik Bydgoszcz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.81

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:33

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.14 → 2.14	Pinn 2.14
X	3.81 → 3.81	Pinn 3.81
2	2.57 → 2.57	Pinn 2.57

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:14 +19’	2.14	3.81	2.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Notec Czarnkow	Chemik Bydgoszcz
Victoria Wrzesnia	1-0 W	2-2 D
Baltyk Koszalin	0-3 L	2-2 D
KSS Kotwica Kornik	1-1 D	1-4 L
Flota Swinoujscie	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Notec Czarnkow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Notec Czarnkow

WLWLDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
17/10	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
19/09	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	10	2	L
05/09	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
28/08	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
22/08	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W

Chemik Bydgoszcz

DLDDDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
17/10	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
10/10	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	6	2	L
03/10	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
26/09	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	2-3	3-3	1	2	D
19/09	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	11	4	D
05/09	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
28/08	KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
22/08	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Notec Czarnkow vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Notec Czarnkow win (55%). Probabilities: Notec Czarnkow 55%, draw 24%, Chemik Bydgoszcz 21%.

How many goals are expected in Notec Czarnkow vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Notec Czarnkow 1.92 · Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Notec Czarnkow vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.