Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 03/10, 15:30
Prediction: Breitenrain vs Bavois
Team pages: Breitenrain · Bavois
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Breitenrain1.47
Bavois1.48
1X2
Breitenrain
Draw
Bavois
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Breitenrain
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Bavois
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Breitenrain
4–1–1
Bavois
(6 last)
- Bavois1-1Breitenrain
- Breitenrain1-0Bavois
- Breitenrain1-2Bavois
- Bavois0-1Breitenrain
- Breitenrain4-2Bavois
- Breitenrain3-2Bavois
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Breitenrain 1484 · Bavois 1440
| Breitenrain | Draw | Bavois | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Breitenrain (rating 1484 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Breitenrain: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Breitenrain | Bavois | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.7 | 3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Breitenrain 4–1–1 Bavois
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Bavois | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Breitenrain |
| 02/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Breitenrain | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bavois |
| 26/04/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Breitenrain | 1-2 | Bavois |
| 23/10/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Bavois | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Breitenrain |
| 13/04/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion | Breitenrain | 4-2 | Bavois |
| 25/01/24 Club Friendly List | Breitenrain | 3-2 | Bavois |
Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biel Bienne | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Schaffhausen | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Cham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Grand-Saconnex | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Bulle | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | FC Paradiso | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | YF Juventus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Amical Saint-Prex | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 13 |
| 9 | Basel II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 12 |
| 10 | SC Bruhl | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Breitenrain | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 12 | Young Boys II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Zurich II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Kreuzlingen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 15 | Lugano II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 9 |
| 16 | Bavois | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | Lucerne II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 18 | AC Bellinzona | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Breitenrain | Bavois |
|---|---|---|
| AC Bellinzona | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Biel Bienne | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Lucerne II | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Young Boys II | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Bulle | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Bavois (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Breitenrain
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/09 | Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/08 | Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
3-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
Bavois
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/08 | YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Kriens Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Breitenrain vs Bavois?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bavois win (38%). Probabilities: Breitenrain 37%, draw 25%, Bavois 38%.
How many goals are expected in Breitenrain vs Bavois?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Breitenrain 1.47 · Bavois 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Breitenrain vs Bavois?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.