Football · Poland III Liga · 31/10, 13:30

Prediction: JKS Jaroslaw vs Czarni Polaniec

Team pages: JKS Jaroslaw · Czarni Polaniec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

JKS Jaroslaw1.69

Czarni Polaniec1.66

1X2

38% 25% 37%

JKS Jaroslaw Draw Czarni Polaniec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

JKS Jaroslaw 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDLLLL

Czarni Polaniec 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDDLDW

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Czarni Polaniec (rating 1476 vs 1527).
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JKS Jaroslaw	Czarni Polaniec
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	3.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 2.09	Pinn 2.09
X	3.85 → 3.85	Pinn 3.85
2	2.62 → 2.62	Pinn 2.62

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +20’	2.09	3.85	2.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
6	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
7	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JKS Jaroslaw	Czarni Polaniec
Hetman Zamosc	0-1 L	0-1 L
KSZO Ostrowiec	1-3 L	1-1 D
Wisla Krakow II	1-2 L	1-1 D
Naprzod Jedrzejow	1-3 L	2-5 L
Moravia Morawica	2-2 D	2-1 W
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	5-2 W	3-0 W
Wislanie Jaskowice	1-3 L	1-0 W
Korona Kielce II	6-2 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Czarni Polaniec (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JKS Jaroslaw

WWWLWDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
17/10	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
10/10	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
03/10	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-3	1-3	–	–	L
27/09	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
19/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	2-2	5-2	11	5	W
12/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-3	1-3	5	5	L
05/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	3-1	6-2	6	7	W
29/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
22/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Czarni Polaniec

WWWWLDDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
17/10	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/09	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
19/09	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-4	2-5	–	–	L
13/09	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	7	8	W
05/09	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
28/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-0	4-3	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JKS Jaroslaw vs Czarni Polaniec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JKS Jaroslaw win (38%). Probabilities: JKS Jaroslaw 38%, draw 25%, Czarni Polaniec 37%.

How many goals are expected in JKS Jaroslaw vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model expects 3.36 goals (JKS Jaroslaw 1.69 · Czarni Polaniec 1.66), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JKS Jaroslaw vs Czarni Polaniec?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.