Football · Poland III Liga · 01/08, 16:00
Prediction: Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow1.33
Chelmianka Chelm1.45
1X2
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
Draw
Chelmianka Chelm
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Chelmianka Chelm
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
1–2–1
Chelmianka Chelm
(4 last)
- Chelmianka Chelm1-1Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
- Pogon Sokol Lubaczow0-0Chelmianka Chelm
- Chelmianka Chelm3-4Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
- Pogon Sokol Lubaczow1-6Chelmianka Chelm
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelmianka Chelm (rating 1497 vs 1569).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | Chelmianka Chelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1–2–1 Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Poland III Liga | Chelmianka Chelm | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow |
| 20/09/25 Poland III Liga | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chelmianka Chelm |
| 30/05/25 Poland III Liga | Chelmianka Chelm | 3-4 HT 0-2 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow |
| 09/11/24 Poland III Liga | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1-6 HT 0-4 | Chelmianka Chelm |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Czarni Polaniec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hetman Zamosc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JKS Jaroslaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Korona Kielce II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Moravia Morawica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Star Starachowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wisloka Debica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Wisloka Debica | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Star Starachowice | 3-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Korona Kielce II | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| KSZO Ostrowiec | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelmianka Chelm (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Wisloka Debica Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chelmianka Chelm win (39%). Probabilities: Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 34%, draw 28%, Chelmianka Chelm 39%.
How many goals are expected in Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1.33 · Chelmianka Chelm 1.45), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Chelmianka Chelm?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.