Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 27/07, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.59Total
Deportivo Riestra0.59
Boca Juniors1
1X2
Deportivo Riestra
Draw
Boca Juniors
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Riestra
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Riestra
0–1–1
Boca Juniors
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Riestra 1441 · Boca Juniors 1561
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 37% | 44% |
| Market | 23% | 31% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.59 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors (rating 1441 vs 1561).
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Riestra | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Riestra 0–1–1 Boca Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 27/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Boca Juniors | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Riestra |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Defensa y Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estudiantes LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newell's | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Palestino Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Boca Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Athletico Paranaense America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 02/05 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/04 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boca Juniors win (45%). Probabilities: Deportivo Riestra 21%, draw 34%, Boca Juniors 45%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?
The model expects 1.59 goals (Deportivo Riestra 0.59 · Boca Juniors 1), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.