Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 25/07, 00:00
Prediction: Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto AC Cordoba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Velez Sarsfield1.1
Instituto AC Cordoba0.73
1X2
Velez Sarsfield
Draw
Instituto AC Cordoba
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Velez Sarsfield
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Instituto AC Cordoba
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Velez Sarsfield
4–1–1
Instituto AC Cordoba
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Velez Sarsfield 1519 · Instituto AC Cordoba 1531
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 44% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Velez Sarsfield: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velez Sarsfield | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Velez Sarsfield 4–1–1 Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Velez Sarsfield |
| 27/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Velez Sarsfield | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 03/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Velez Sarsfield |
| 18/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Velez Sarsfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 17/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Velez Sarsfield | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 29/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Velez Sarsfield |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Defensa y Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estudiantes LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newell's | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Velez Sarsfield | Instituto AC Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| Newell's | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Lanus | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Instituto AC Cordoba (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velez Sarsfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 17 | 8 | L |
| 05/05 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 27/04 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 21/04 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 14/04 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Deportivo Armenio Argentina Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Lanus Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/04 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | CA Atlanta Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/03 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/03 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 12/03 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Velez Sarsfield win (43%). Probabilities: Velez Sarsfield 43%, draw 33%, Instituto AC Cordoba 23%.
How many goals are expected in Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model expects 1.84 goals (Velez Sarsfield 1.1 · Instituto AC Cordoba 0.73), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.