Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 24/07, 02:45
Prediction: Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Defensa y Justicia1.36
Aldosivi0.78
1X2
Defensa y Justicia
Draw
Aldosivi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensa y Justicia
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Aldosivi
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensa y Justicia
3–2–1
Aldosivi
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensa y Justicia 1460 · Aldosivi 1464
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensa y Justicia: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensa y Justicia | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensa y Justicia 3–2–1 Aldosivi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 22/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Aldosivi |
| 30/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 12/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Aldosivi |
| 09/08/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 14/01/21 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 4-4 HT 3-2 | Aldosivi |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldosivi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Belgrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huracan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sarmiento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gimnasia LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Racing Club Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/04 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/03 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/03 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | River Plate Argentina Cup |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/03 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/03 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/03 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensa y Justicia win (50%). Probabilities: Defensa y Justicia 50%, draw 30%, Aldosivi 20%.
How many goals are expected in Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Defensa y Justicia 1.36 · Aldosivi 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensa y Justicia vs Aldosivi?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.