Football · Denmark Division 2 · 05/09, 14:00

Prediction: FC Roskilde vs VSK Arhus

Team pages: FC Roskilde · VSK Arhus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
FC Roskilde1.45
VSK Arhus1.28
1X2
40% 27% 33%
FC Roskilde Draw VSK Arhus
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Roskilde 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWWDWDDD
VSK Arhus 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWWWWD
Head-to-head
FC Roskilde 3–2–1 VSK Arhus (6 last)
  • VSK Arhus1-1FC Roskilde
  • FC Roskilde5-0VSK Arhus
  • FC Roskilde5-0VSK Arhus
  • VSK Arhus2-0FC Roskilde
  • FC Roskilde4-3VSK Arhus
  • VSK Arhus2-2FC Roskilde
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Roskilde 1564 · VSK Arhus 1572
FC RoskildeDrawVSK Arhus
Our model40%28%32%
Market41%26%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FC Roskilde: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC RoskildeVSK Arhus
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.51.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.81 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 42.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.22.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Roskilde 321 VSK Arhus

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/10/25
Denmark Division 2
VSK Arhus1-1
HT 1-0
FC Roskilde
09/08/25
Denmark Division 2
FC Roskilde5-0
HT 1-0
VSK Arhus
11/06/22
Denmark Division 3
FC Roskilde5-0
HT 2-0
VSK Arhus
30/04/22
Denmark Division 3
VSK Arhus2-0
HT 1-0
FC Roskilde
06/11/21
Denmark Division 3
FC Roskilde4-3
HT 3-0
VSK Arhus
25/09/21
Denmark Division 3
VSK Arhus2-2
HT 2-1
FC Roskilde

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VSK Arhus 5410 10113
2 Nykobing 5320 14811
3 Middelfart 5311 13610
4 Naestved 6231 779
5 B93 Copenhagen 6222 998
6 FC Roskilde 5140 877
7 Fremad Amager 5131 786
7 Skive 5203 786
9 FA 2000 5113 594
10 Brabrand 5113 6114
11 Hellerup IK 5113 494
12 Thisted FC 5014 4111

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC RoskildeVSK Arhus
Fremad Amager 1-1 D 3-0 W
Naestved 2-2 D 2-0 W
Hellerup IK 3-2 W 2-0 W
Thisted FC 2-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: VSK Arhus (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Roskilde

WLLWWDWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Nykobing
Denmark Division 2
0-1 2-2 106 D
21/08 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
0-1 1-1 D
15/08 Middelfart
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-1 00 D
07/08 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-1 17 W
31/07 Naestved
Denmark Division 2
2-1 2-2 64 D
06/06 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
0-1 3-2 74 W
29/05 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
2-1 2-1 12 W
24/05 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 2
1-2 1-3 13 L
16/05 Naestved
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-1 64 L
13/05 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-1 43 W

VSK Arhus

DDLWWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 FA 2000
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-0 85 D
23/08 Naestved
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-0 W
15/08 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
3-0 3-1 43 W
08/08 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
1-0 3-0 46 W
01/08 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
2-0 2-0 41 W
06/06 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 2
1-1 3-2 32 W
30/05 Ishoj
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-0 52 W
23/05 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-1 62 L
16/05 Brabrand
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-1 105 D
13/05 Skive
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-1 71 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Roskilde vs VSK Arhus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Roskilde win (40%). Probabilities: FC Roskilde 40%, draw 27%, VSK Arhus 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Roskilde vs VSK Arhus?

The model expects 2.73 goals (FC Roskilde 1.45 · VSK Arhus 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Roskilde vs VSK Arhus?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.