Prediction: Naestved vs Thisted FC
Team pages: Naestved · Thisted FC
- Naestved0-2Thisted FC
- Thisted FC2-0Naestved
- Thisted FC1-2Naestved
- Naestved0-2Thisted FC
- Naestved2-1Thisted FC
- Thisted FC0-1Naestved
| Naestved | Draw | Thisted FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 24% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naestved (rating 1524 vs 1434).
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naestved | Thisted FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naestved 3–0–3 Thisted FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Denmark Division 2 | Naestved | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Thisted FC |
| 11/04/26 Denmark Division 2 | Thisted FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Naestved |
| 09/11/25 Denmark Division 2 | Thisted FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Naestved |
| 14/09/25 Denmark Division 2 | Naestved | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Thisted FC |
| 09/03/25 Denmark Division 2 | Naestved | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Thisted FC |
| 01/09/24 Denmark Division 2 | Thisted FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Naestved |
Standings · Denmark Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | VSK Arhus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Middelfart | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | FC Roskilde | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Fremad Amager | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 6 | Naestved | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | B93 Copenhagen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 8 | Skive | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 9 | Hellerup IK | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | FA 2000 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 11 | Brabrand | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naestved | Thisted FC |
|---|---|---|
| Skive | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| VSK Arhus | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Hellerup IK | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Roskilde | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| AB Copenhagen | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Naestved (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naestved
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Skive Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/07 | FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Thisted FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Nykobing Denmark Division 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/08 | Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Skive Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Middelfart Denmark Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Naestved Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naestved vs Thisted FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Naestved win (59%). Probabilities: Naestved 59%, draw 23%, Thisted FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Naestved vs Thisted FC?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Naestved 1.91 · Thisted FC 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Naestved vs Thisted FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.