Football · Denmark Division 2 · 30/08, 14:00

Prediction: Skive vs Naestved

Team pages: Skive · Naestved

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Skive1.12
Naestved1.29
1X2
32% 28% 40%
Skive Draw Naestved
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Skive 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWWDWLLW
Naestved 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLWLDDWL
Head-to-head
Skive 1–2–3 Naestved (6 last)
  • Skive0-0Naestved
  • Naestved2-0Skive
  • Naestved1-3Skive
  • Skive0-2Naestved
  • Naestved3-3Skive
  • Skive0-1Naestved
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skive 1489 · Naestved 1517
SkiveDrawNaestved
Our model31%30%39%
Market32%27%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Naestved: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SkiveNaestved
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.11.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.82.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.13.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skive 123 Naestved

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Denmark Division 2
Skive0-0
HT 0-0
Naestved
28/09/25
Denmark Division 2
Naestved2-0
HT 1-0
Skive
01/06/25
Denmark Division 2
Naestved1-3
HT 1-1
Skive
27/04/25
Denmark Division 2
Skive0-2
HT 0-2
Naestved
20/10/24
Denmark Division 2
Naestved3-3
HT 2-0
Skive
28/09/24
Denmark Division 2
Skive0-1
HT 0-1
Naestved

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VSK Arhus 4400 10112
2 Nykobing 4310 12610
3 Middelfart 4211 1157
4 FC Roskilde 4130 656
5 B93 Copenhagen 4202 776
6 Skive 4202 666
7 Fremad Amager 4121 565
8 Naestved 4121 455
9 Hellerup IK 4112 374
10 FA 2000 4103 593
11 Brabrand 4103 5103
12 Thisted FC 4004 290

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSkiveNaestved
Thisted FC 1-0 W 0-2 L
Brabrand 3-1 W 1-0 W
VSK Arhus 1-1 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skive (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skive

DDDWWDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-0 W
14/08 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-2 59 L
08/08 Nykobing
Denmark Division 2
2-1 2-3 16 L
01/08 Brabrand
Denmark Division 2
1-1 3-1 47 W
06/06 Ishoj
Denmark Division 2
0-1 1-1 31 D
29/05 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-0 83 W
22/05 Brabrand
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-0 14 W
17/05 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-1 38 D
13/05 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-1 61 D
08/05 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 2
0-1 2-2 122 D

Naestved

LLWLWLDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-2 L
14/08 Brabrand
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-0 35 W
09/08 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-1 70 D
31/07 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
1-2 2-2 64 D
06/06 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 2
1-2 2-4 44 L
29/05 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-1 4-1 42 W
23/05 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-2 60 L
16/05 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-0 44 W
13/05 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-2 45 L
09/05 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 2
1-3 1-3 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skive vs Naestved?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Naestved win (40%). Probabilities: Skive 32%, draw 28%, Naestved 40%.

How many goals are expected in Skive vs Naestved?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Skive 1.12 · Naestved 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Skive vs Naestved?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.