Football · Denmark Division 2 · 13/09, 14:00

Prediction: Brabrand vs FC Roskilde

Team pages: Brabrand · FC Roskilde

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Brabrand1.3

FC Roskilde1.82

1X2

26% 25% 49%

Brabrand Draw FC Roskilde

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Brabrand 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLWDL

FC Roskilde 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWWDWDDDW

Head-to-head

Brabrand 0–3–3 FC Roskilde (6 last)

Brabrand1-1FC Roskilde
FC Roskilde5-1Brabrand
FC Roskilde4-4Brabrand
Brabrand0-1FC Roskilde
Brabrand1-1FC Roskilde
FC Roskilde1-0Brabrand

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brabrand 1454 · FC Roskilde 1595

	Brabrand	Draw	FC Roskilde
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Roskilde (rating 1454 vs 1595).
H2H favours FC Roskilde: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brabrand	FC Roskilde
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.78 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.74
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:51 +41’	3.40	3.60	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:39 +91’	3.78	3.70	1.79
07:01 +69’	3.62▼	3.67▼	1.84▲
10:02 +8’	3.78▲	3.74▲	1.79▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brabrand 0–3–3 FC Roskilde

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Denmark Division 2	Brabrand	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Roskilde
11/10/25 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	5-1 HT 5-1	Brabrand
28/10/23 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	4-4 HT 2-1	Brabrand
16/09/23 Denmark Division 2	Brabrand	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Roskilde
27/05/23 Denmark Division 2	Brabrand	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Roskilde
13/05/23 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	1-0 HT 0-0	Brabrand

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	6	4	2	0	17	8	14
2	VSK Arhus	6	4	1	1	10	2	13
3	Middelfart	6	3	2	1	14	7	11
4	FC Roskilde	6	2	4	0	9	7	10
5	Fremad Amager	7	2	4	1	10	10	10
6	Naestved	6	2	3	1	7	7	9
7	B93 Copenhagen	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
8	Skive	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
9	Hellerup IK	7	2	1	4	7	12	7
10	FA 2000	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
11	Brabrand	6	1	1	4	7	13	4
12	Thisted FC	6	0	1	5	4	14	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brabrand	FC Roskilde
Hellerup IK	1-2 L	3-2 W
B93 Copenhagen	1-1 D	2-1 W
Naestved	0-1 L	2-2 D
Middelfart	0-4 L	1-1 D
Fremad Amager	1-2 L	1-1 D
VSK Arhus	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Roskilde (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brabrand

DLLLLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
29/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
14/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
07/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-4	1	4	L
01/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-3	3	7	L
06/06	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-2	3	6	L
30/05	FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
22/05	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
16/05	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

FC Roskilde

LLWWDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
28/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-2	10	6	D
21/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	0	0	D
07/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
31/07	Naestved Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-2	6	4	D
06/06	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-1	3-2	7	4	W
29/05	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-1	1	2	W
24/05	Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 2	1-2	1-3	1	3	L
16/05	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brabrand vs FC Roskilde?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Roskilde win (49%). Probabilities: Brabrand 26%, draw 25%, FC Roskilde 49%.

How many goals are expected in Brabrand vs FC Roskilde?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Brabrand 1.3 · FC Roskilde 1.82), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brabrand vs FC Roskilde?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.