Football · Denmark Division 2 · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: FC Roskilde vs Hellerup IK

Team pages: FC Roskilde · Hellerup IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

FC Roskilde2.14

Hellerup IK0.97

1X2

63% 22% 15%

FC Roskilde Draw Hellerup IK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Roskilde 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWDWD

Hellerup IK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLDWWL

Head-to-head

FC Roskilde 4–2–0 Hellerup IK (6 last)

Hellerup IK1-1FC Roskilde
FC Roskilde3-2Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK1-2FC Roskilde
Hellerup IK0-2FC Roskilde
FC Roskilde4-1Hellerup IK
FC Roskilde2-2Hellerup IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Roskilde 1584 · Hellerup IK 1436

	FC Roskilde	Draw	Hellerup IK
Our model	63%	22%	15%
Market	63%	22%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Roskilde (rating 1584 vs 1436).
H2H favours FC Roskilde: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Roskilde	Hellerup IK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.10

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:03 +3’	1.42	4.10	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Roskilde 4–2–0 Hellerup IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/26 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Roskilde
06/06/26 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	3-2 HT 0-1	Hellerup IK
08/05/26 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Roskilde
13/03/26 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Roskilde
26/09/25 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	4-1 HT 3-1	Hellerup IK
19/07/25 Europe Friendlies	FC Roskilde	2-2 HT 0-1	Hellerup IK

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	14	9	4	1	37	16	31
2	FC Roskilde	14	6	8	0	28	13	26
3	B93 Copenhagen	14	6	3	5	25	20	21
4	Skive	14	6	3	5	22	19	21
5	Naestved	14	4	9	1	19	16	21
6	VSK Arhus	14	5	5	4	20	18	20
7	Fremad Amager	14	5	5	4	18	23	20
8	Middelfart	14	4	7	3	26	21	19
9	Brabrand	14	4	3	7	17	23	15
10	Hellerup IK	14	4	3	7	13	23	15
11	FA 2000	14	2	3	9	13	28	9
12	Thisted FC	14	1	3	10	12	30	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Roskilde	Hellerup IK
Fremad Amager	4-0 W	1-2 L
Middelfart	3-3 D	1-2 L
Skive	3-0 W	0-2 L
Thisted FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
FA 2000	5-1 W	2-0 W
Brabrand	1-1 D	1-0 W
Nykobing	2-2 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Roskilde (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Roskilde

DWDWDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
23/10	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-0	4-0	1	6	W
17/10	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-3	9	2	D
10/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
04/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
18/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	5-1	5	3	W
13/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	8	D
05/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
28/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-2	10	6	D

Hellerup IK

LWLLDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-4	3	6	L
23/10	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
17/10	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
10/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
25/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
11/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
05/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Roskilde vs Hellerup IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Roskilde win (63%). Probabilities: FC Roskilde 63%, draw 22%, Hellerup IK 15%.

How many goals are expected in FC Roskilde vs Hellerup IK?

The model expects 3.11 goals (FC Roskilde 2.14 · Hellerup IK 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Roskilde vs Hellerup IK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.