Football · Denmark Division 2 · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Nykobing vs Brabrand

Team pages: Nykobing · Brabrand

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Nykobing2.31
Brabrand1.03
1X2
66% 19% 15%
Nykobing Draw Brabrand
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Nykobing 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWWWDDWLWW
Brabrand 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLDWWLWL
Head-to-head
Nykobing 1–3–2 Brabrand (6 last)
  • Brabrand1-1Nykobing
  • Brabrand2-1Nykobing
  • Nykobing0-0Brabrand
  • Nykobing1-2Brabrand
  • Brabrand1-1Nykobing
  • Nykobing1-0Brabrand
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nykobing 1581 · Brabrand 1495
NykobingDrawBrabrand
Our model65%20%15%
Market66%18%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykobing (rating 1581 vs 1495).
  • H2H favours Brabrand: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NykobingBrabrand
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 11.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.10.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.72.9 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.35 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykobing 1–3–2 Brabrand

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/09/26
Denmark Division 2
Brabrand1-1
HT 1-0
Nykobing
04/11/23
Denmark Division 2
Brabrand2-1
HT 1-0
Nykobing
14/10/23
Denmark Division 2
Nykobing0-0
HT 0-0
Brabrand
12/05/18
Denmark Division 1
Nykobing1-2
HT 1-1
Brabrand
12/11/17
Denmark Division 1
Brabrand1-1
HT 0-0
Nykobing
03/09/17
Denmark Division 1
Nykobing1-0
HT 0-0
Brabrand

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Nykobing 14941 371631
2 FC Roskilde 15780 301429
3 B93 Copenhagen 15735 262024
4 Middelfart 15573 292322
5 Skive 15636 222021
6 Naestved 15492 211921
7 Fremad Amager 15564 182321
8 VSK Arhus 15555 201920
9 Brabrand 14437 172315
10 Hellerup IK 15438 142515
11 FA 2000 15339 142812
12 Thisted FC 151410 12307

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNykobingBrabrand
Hellerup IK 4-1 W 0-1 L
Thisted FC 3-0 W 1-3 L
Fremad Amager 2-3 L 1-0 W
VSK Arhus 3-1 W 2-0 W
FA 2000 3-1 W 1-2 L
FC Roskilde 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nykobing (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nykobing

DWWWDDWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
2-0 4-1 76 W
25/10 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
3-0 3-0 04 W
16/10 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
0-0 2-3 56 L
11/10 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
2-0 3-1 54 W
02/10 Naestved
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-1 46 D
26/09 Brabrand
Denmark Division 2
0-1 1-1 86 D
18/09 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
2-0 3-0 41 W
13/09 FA 2000
Denmark Division 2
2-0 3-1 111 W
06/09 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
3-0 3-0 91 W
28/08 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-2 46 D

Brabrand

DLDLDWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 FA 2000
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-2 76 L
24/10 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-2 3-2 510 W
17/10 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-1 66 L
10/10 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-0 31 W
02/10 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-0 43 W
26/09 Nykobing
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-1 86 D
20/09 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-3 112 L
13/09 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-1 78 D
05/09 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-2 65 L
29/08 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-1 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nykobing vs Brabrand?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nykobing win (66%). Probabilities: Nykobing 66%, draw 19%, Brabrand 15%.

How many goals are expected in Nykobing vs Brabrand?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Nykobing 2.31 · Brabrand 1.03), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nykobing vs Brabrand?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.