Football · Denmark Division 2 · 13/11, 19:00

Prediction: Skive vs Thisted FC

Team pages: Skive · Thisted FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Skive1.57
Thisted FC0.99
1X2
51% 26% 23%
Skive Draw Thisted FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Skive 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWLWDWL
Thisted FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLLDDLLD
Head-to-head
Skive 1–1–4 Thisted FC (6 last)
  • Thisted FC0-1Skive
  • Thisted FC1-0Skive
  • Skive1-2Thisted FC
  • Thisted FC3-0Skive
  • Skive1-1Thisted FC
  • Skive1-2Thisted FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skive 1514 · Thisted FC 1429
SkiveDrawThisted FC
Our model50%28%23%
Market51%25%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skive (rating 1514 vs 1429).
  • H2H favours Thisted FC: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SkiveThisted FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.20.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.2 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.31.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 03.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Skive 1–1–4 Thisted FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/08/26
Denmark Division 2
Thisted FC0-1
HT 0-0
Skive
27/03/26
Denmark Division 2
Thisted FC1-0
HT 0-0
Skive
09/08/25
Denmark Division 2
Skive1-2
HT 0-1
Thisted FC
01/11/24
Denmark Division 2
Thisted FC3-0
HT 1-0
Skive
11/10/24
Denmark Division 2
Skive1-1
HT 0-0
Thisted FC
15/06/24
Denmark Division 2
Skive1-2
HT 0-0
Thisted FC

Standings · Denmark Division 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Nykobing 15942 371831
2 FC Roskilde 15780 301429
3 B93 Copenhagen 15735 262024
4 Middelfart 15573 292322
5 Skive 15636 222021
6 Naestved 15492 211921
7 Fremad Amager 15564 182321
8 VSK Arhus 15555 201920
9 Brabrand 15537 192318
10 Hellerup IK 15438 142515
11 FA 2000 15339 142812
12 Thisted FC 151410 12307

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSkiveThisted FC
B93 Copenhagen 0-1 L 1-3 L
VSK Arhus 4-1 W 2-2 D
FC Roskilde 0-3 L 0-2 L
Hellerup IK 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Skive (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skive

DDWLWLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-1 80 L
30/10 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
3-1 4-1 53 W
24/10 Middelfart
Denmark Division 2
1-2 3-3 57 D
17/10 FA 2000
Denmark Division 2
2-0 2-0 62 W
10/10 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-3 84 L
03/10 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-0 43 W
26/09 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-1 37 L
18/09 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
0-1 2-1 35 W
13/09 Middelfart
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-0 58 D
05/09 FA 2000
Denmark Division 2
1-1 2-2 67 D

Thisted FC

LLWLLDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-0 43 D
01/11 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
0-2 1-3 12 L
25/10 Nykobing
Denmark Division 2
0-3 0-3 74 L
18/10 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
1-1 2-2 –– D
10/10 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-1 34 D
04/10 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-2 54 L
26/09 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-1 34 L
20/09 Brabrand
Denmark Division 2
0-0 3-1 02 W
13/09 Naestved
Denmark Division 2
0-2 1-3 74 L
06/09 Nykobing
Denmark Division 2
0-3 0-3 11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skive vs Thisted FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skive win (51%). Probabilities: Skive 51%, draw 26%, Thisted FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Skive vs Thisted FC?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Skive 1.57 · Thisted FC 0.99), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Skive vs Thisted FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.