Football · Denmark Division 2 · 13/11, 19:00
Prediction: FC Roskilde vs Nykobing
Team pages: FC Roskilde · Nykobing
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
FC Roskilde1.71
Nykobing1.67
1X2
FC Roskilde
Draw
Nykobing
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Roskilde
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Nykobing
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Roskilde
5–1–0
Nykobing
(6 last)
- Nykobing2-2FC Roskilde
- FC Roskilde5-1Nykobing
- Nykobing0-5FC Roskilde
- FC Roskilde3-0Nykobing
- Nykobing1-2FC Roskilde
- FC Roskilde3-1Nykobing
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Roskilde 1568 · Nykobing 1555
| FC Roskilde | Draw | Nykobing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Roskilde: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Roskilde | Nykobing | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Roskilde 5–1–0 Nykobing
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Roskilde |
| 31/05/24 Denmark Division 2 | FC Roskilde | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Nykobing |
| 12/04/24 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 0-5 HT 0-2 | FC Roskilde |
| 23/03/24 Denmark Division 2 | FC Roskilde | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Nykobing |
| 18/08/23 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Roskilde |
| 09/04/21 Denmark 2. Division Group 2 | FC Roskilde | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Nykobing |
Standings · Denmark Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | FC Roskilde | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 30 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | B93 Copenhagen | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 24 |
| 4 | Middelfart | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 22 |
| 5 | Skive | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 6 | Naestved | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Fremad Amager | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | VSK Arhus | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 18 |
| 10 | Hellerup IK | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 15 |
| 11 | FA 2000 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Roskilde | Nykobing |
|---|---|---|
| Hellerup IK | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Naestved | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Fremad Amager | 4-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Thisted FC | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FA 2000 | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Brabrand | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| VSK Arhus | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Roskilde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 31/10 | Naestved Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/10 | Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Middelfart Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Skive Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/09 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 2 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Nykobing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 30/10 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/10 | Naestved Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/09 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/09 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Roskilde vs Nykobing?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Roskilde win (38%). Probabilities: FC Roskilde 38%, draw 25%, Nykobing 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC Roskilde vs Nykobing?
The model expects 3.37 goals (FC Roskilde 1.71 · Nykobing 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Roskilde vs Nykobing?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.