Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 16/08, 16:45
Prediction: PEC Zwolle (W) vs PSV (W)
Team pages: PSV (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
PEC Zwolle (W)0.87
PSV (W)2.08
1X2
PEC Zwolle (W)
Draw
PSV (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
PEC Zwolle (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
PSV (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PEC Zwolle (W)
0–6
PSV (W)
(6 last)
- PSV (W)3-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)0-2PSV (W)
- PEC Zwolle (W)0-1PSV (W)
- PSV (W)4-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PSV (W)3-0PEC Zwolle (W)
- PSV (W)6-3PEC Zwolle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PEC Zwolle (W) 1429 · PSV (W) 1649
| PEC Zwolle (W) | Draw | PSV (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 22% | 64% |
| Market | 15% | 20% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSV (W) (rating 1429 vs 1649).
- H2H favours PSV (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PEC Zwolle (W) | PSV (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/22/56% | 90/10/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 3.6 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PEC Zwolle (W) 0–0–6 PSV (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 18/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | PSV (W) |
| 08/02/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | PSV (W) |
| 19/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 30/08/24 Women’s Friendly | PSV (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
| 22/02/24 Women’s Friendly | PSV (W) | 6-3 HT 2-2 | PEC Zwolle (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | De Graafschap (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Feyenoord (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heerenveen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PEC Zwolle (W) | PSV (W) |
|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| HERA United (W) | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| FC Twente (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Ajax (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: PSV (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PEC Zwolle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | RB Leipzig (W) Women’s Friendly |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Werder Bremen (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 22/02 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
PSV (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | HJK (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Sarajevo (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Super Cup Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | FC Metalist 1925 (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Cup Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 08/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PEC Zwolle (W) vs PSV (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PSV (W) win (65%). Probabilities: PEC Zwolle (W) 14%, draw 21%, PSV (W) 65%.
How many goals are expected in PEC Zwolle (W) vs PSV (W)?
The model expects 2.95 goals (PEC Zwolle (W) 0.87 · PSV (W) 2.08), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle (W) vs PSV (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.