Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 16/08, 16:45
Prediction: Heerenveen (W) vs Feyenoord (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Heerenveen (W)1.2
Feyenoord (W)2.41
1X2
Heerenveen (W)
Draw
Feyenoord (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Heerenveen (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Feyenoord (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Heerenveen (W)
1–5
Feyenoord (W)
(6 last)
- Heerenveen (W)2-1Feyenoord (W)
- Feyenoord (W)6-1Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)0-3Feyenoord (W)
- Feyenoord (W)1-0Heerenveen (W)
- Heerenveen (W)0-3Feyenoord (W)
- Heerenveen (W)0-2Feyenoord (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Heerenveen (W) 1487 · Feyenoord (W) 1504
| Heerenveen (W) | Draw | Feyenoord (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| Market | 16% | 21% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Feyenoord (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heerenveen (W) | Feyenoord (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 2.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heerenveen (W) 1–0–5 Feyenoord (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Feyenoord (W) |
| 02/11/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Feyenoord (W) | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 14/03/25 Netherlands Cup Women | Heerenveen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Feyenoord (W) |
| 19/01/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Feyenoord (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Heerenveen (W) |
| 02/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Feyenoord (W) |
| 01/05/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | Heerenveen (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Feyenoord (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | De Graafschap (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Feyenoord (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heerenveen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heerenveen (W) | Feyenoord (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Ajax (W) | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| VV Alkmaar (W) | 5-1 W | 3-3 D |
| NAC (W) | 5-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Heerenveen (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heerenveen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FC Utrecht (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 15/03 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/02 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 15/02 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
Feyenoord (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Bayer Leverkusen (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | OH Leuven (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Nordsjaelland (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/03 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heerenveen (W) vs Feyenoord (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Feyenoord (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Heerenveen (W) 16%, draw 20%, Feyenoord (W) 63%.
How many goals are expected in Heerenveen (W) vs Feyenoord (W)?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Heerenveen (W) 1.2 · Feyenoord (W) 2.41), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen (W) vs Feyenoord (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.