Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 22/08, 14:00
Prediction: PSV (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)
Team pages: PSV (W) · FC Utrecht (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
PSV (W)2.56
FC Utrecht (W)0.67
1X2
PSV (W)
Draw
FC Utrecht (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
PSV (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
FC Utrecht (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSV (W)
5–1
FC Utrecht (W)
(6 last)
- PSV (W)3-0FC Utrecht (W)
- PSV (W)3-0FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)1-2PSV (W)
- PSV (W)1-0FC Utrecht (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)3-2PSV (W)
- FC Utrecht (W)0-2PSV (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSV (W) 1683 · FC Utrecht (W) 1499
| PSV (W) | Draw | FC Utrecht (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 78% | 14% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSV (W) (rating 1683 vs 1499).
- H2H favours PSV (W): 5-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSV (W) | FC Utrecht (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.6 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.2 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSV (W) 5–0–1 FC Utrecht (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Netherlands Cup Women | PSV (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 25/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 21/09/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | PSV (W) |
| 02/03/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Utrecht (W) |
| 23/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 3-2 HT 2-0 | PSV (W) |
| 11/02/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Utrecht (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | PSV (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Twente (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Feyenoord (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ajax (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | De Graafschap (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | Heerenveen (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Utrecht (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSV (W) | FC Utrecht (W) |
|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Twente (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| HERA United (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Heerenveen (W) | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Ajax (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Excelsior (W) | 6-0 W | 2-0 W |
| VV Alkmaar (W) | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Utrecht (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSV (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 29/03 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 12/03 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 15/02 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
FC Utrecht (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 29/03 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 21/03 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/02 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSV (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSV (W) win (78%). Probabilities: PSV (W) 78%, draw 15%, FC Utrecht (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in PSV (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)?
The model expects 3.23 goals (PSV (W) 2.56 · FC Utrecht (W) 0.67), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PSV (W) vs FC Utrecht (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.