Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 16/08, 16:45
Prediction: VV Alkmaar (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
VV Alkmaar (W)1.65
ADO Den Haag (W)1.26
1X2
VV Alkmaar (W)
Draw
ADO Den Haag (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
VV Alkmaar (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
ADO Den Haag (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
VV Alkmaar (W)
2–2–2
ADO Den Haag (W)
(6 last)
- VV Alkmaar (W)1-1ADO Den Haag (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)0-1VV Alkmaar (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)1-1ADO Den Haag (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)1-4VV Alkmaar (W)
- VV Alkmaar (W)1-2ADO Den Haag (W)
- ADO Den Haag (W)2-0VV Alkmaar (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · VV Alkmaar (W) 1478 · ADO Den Haag (W) 1534
| VV Alkmaar (W) | Draw | ADO Den Haag (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADO Den Haag (W) (rating 1478 vs 1534).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VV Alkmaar (W) | ADO Den Haag (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VV Alkmaar (W) 2–2–2 ADO Den Haag (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 05/10/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
| 03/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | VV Alkmaar (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 12/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 1-4 HT 0-2 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
| 06/09/24 Women’s Friendly | VV Alkmaar (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | ADO Den Haag (W) |
| 10/02/24 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | ADO Den Haag (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | VV Alkmaar (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | De Graafschap (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Feyenoord (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heerenveen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | VV Alkmaar (W) | ADO Den Haag (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Twente (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Excelsior (W) | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Feyenoord (W) | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| HERA United (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| PSV (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VV Alkmaar (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Werder Bremen (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/07 | FC Twente (W) Women’s Friendly |
– | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/05 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 1-5 | 15 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/03 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 22/03 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | PSV (W) Netherlands Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
ADO Den Haag (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | NAC (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Excelsior (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | HERA United (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/02 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/02 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 07/02 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VV Alkmaar (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a VV Alkmaar (W) win (46%). Probabilities: VV Alkmaar (W) 46%, draw 26%, ADO Den Haag (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in VV Alkmaar (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
The model expects 2.91 goals (VV Alkmaar (W) 1.65 · ADO Den Haag (W) 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in VV Alkmaar (W) vs ADO Den Haag (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.