Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 31/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Horni Redice vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Team pages: FK Horni Redice · FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

FK Horni Redice1.45

FK Neratovice-Byskovice1.99

1X2

27% 23% 50%

FK Horni Redice Draw FK Neratovice-Byskovice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Horni Redice 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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FK Neratovice-Byskovice 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Horni Redice 1428 · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1519

	FK Horni Redice	Draw	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Our model	27%	24%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Neratovice-Byskovice (rating 1428 vs 1519).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Horni Redice	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +2’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Horni Redice	FK Neratovice-Byskovice
MFK Chrudim	1-2 L	6-1 W
Benatky Nad Jizerou	0-2 L	0-0 D
FK Teplice B	4-1 W	2-0 W
Zenit Caslav	1-2 L	0-2 L
SK Sokol Brozany	1-3 L	2-2 D
Banik Most-Sous	1-0 W	0-4 L
Hradec Kralove B	1-0 W	0-0 D
Mladá Boleslav B	0-6 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Horni Redice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-5	7	0	L
17/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
10/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
26/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	5	W
20/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
12/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	6	L
05/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
15/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-4	0-6	–	–	L
09/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

FK Neratovice-Byskovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-1	7	2	W
18/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
10/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
04/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	1	6	W
26/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	9	1	L
20/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
29/08	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
22/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Horni Redice vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Neratovice-Byskovice win (50%). Probabilities: FK Horni Redice 27%, draw 23%, FK Neratovice-Byskovice 50%.

How many goals are expected in FK Horni Redice vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice?

The model expects 3.44 goals (FK Horni Redice 1.45 · FK Neratovice-Byskovice 1.99), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Horni Redice vs FK Neratovice-Byskovice?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.