Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 31/10, 10:15

Prediction: MFK Chrudim vs Velke Hamry

Team pages: MFK Chrudim · Velke Hamry

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

MFK Chrudim2.41

Velke Hamry1.37

1X2

60% 21% 20%

MFK Chrudim Draw Velke Hamry

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Chrudim 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Velke Hamry 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Chrudim 1484 · Velke Hamry 1453

	MFK Chrudim	Draw	Velke Hamry
Our model	60%	20%	20%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Chrudim	Velke Hamry
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	1.1 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:33 +34’	1.50	4.33	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Chrudim	Velke Hamry
Benatky Nad Jizerou	3-3 D	3-3 D
Pardubice B	0-1 L	0-6 L
FK Teplice B	1-4 L	2-0 W
Zenit Caslav	2-2 D	1-2 L
SK Sokol Brozany	1-1 D	4-2 W
Banik Most-Sous	1-2 L	0-3 L
Hradec Kralove B	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Chrudim (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Chrudim

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	1-6	5	2	L
17/10	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
10/10	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-1	6	3	W
04/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-3	2	4	D
26/09	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
20/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-4	5	4	L
12/09	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
06/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
29/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Velke Hamry

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-3	7	5	D
18/10	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-6	6	3	L
10/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
04/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
12/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
29/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
23/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Chrudim vs Velke Hamry?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Chrudim win (60%). Probabilities: MFK Chrudim 60%, draw 21%, Velke Hamry 20%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Chrudim vs Velke Hamry?

The model expects 3.78 goals (MFK Chrudim 2.41 · Velke Hamry 1.37), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Chrudim vs Velke Hamry?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.