Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 27/09, 16:30

Prediction: SK Sokol Zapy vs Banik Most-Sous

Team pages: SK Sokol Zapy · Banik Most-Sous

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

SK Sokol Zapy1.68

Banik Most-Sous1.09

1X2

51% 24% 25%

SK Sokol Zapy Draw Banik Most-Sous

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sokol Zapy 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LDWWWDWDWW

Banik Most-Sous 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

SK Sokol Zapy 3–2–1 Banik Most-Sous (6 last)

Banik Most-Sous0-1SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy2-0Banik Most-Sous
SK Sokol Zapy0-0Banik Most-Sous
Banik Most-Sous2-0SK Sokol Zapy
SK Sokol Zapy2-1Banik Most-Sous
Banik Most-Sous2-2SK Sokol Zapy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sokol Zapy 1575 · Banik Most-Sous 1556

	SK Sokol Zapy	Draw	Banik Most-Sous
Our model	50%	27%	24%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SK Sokol Zapy: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sokol Zapy	Banik Most-Sous
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.4	2 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.3	2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:58 +4’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sokol Zapy 3–2–1 Banik Most-Sous

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	0-1 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy
17/08/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	2-0 HT 1-0	Banik Most-Sous
25/05/25 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	0-0 HT 0-0	Banik Most-Sous
26/10/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	2-0 HT 1-0	SK Sokol Zapy
31/05/24 Czechia 3. Liga	SK Sokol Zapy	2-1 HT 1-1	Banik Most-Sous
04/11/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Most-Sous	2-2 HT 0-1	SK Sokol Zapy

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	10	7	3	0	19	3	24
2	FC Brno II	10	7	1	2	23	15	22
3	Frydek Mistek	9	5	3	1	15	7	18
4	SK Unicov	9	5	2	2	17	13	17
5	Sigma Olomouc B	9	5	1	3	17	10	16
6	MFK Vitkovice	10	4	4	2	11	7	16
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	9	4	3	2	23	15	15
8	Slovacko II	10	4	3	3	16	11	15
9	SK Hranice	9	4	1	4	11	8	13
10	FC Trinity Zlin B	10	3	3	4	12	16	12
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	MFK Karvina B	10	3	2	5	15	20	11
13	SFK Vrchovina	9	3	2	4	8	14	11
14	FK Hodonin	9	2	2	5	8	12	8
15	FK Blansko	9	1	4	4	14	24	7
16	FC Vsetin	9	2	1	6	10	22	7
17	MFK Havirov	9	0	4	5	4	16	4
18	Polanka	9	0	3	6	5	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sokol Zapy	Banik Most-Sous
Hradec Kralove B	2-1 W	3-0 W
Velke Hamry	2-0 W	3-0 W
FK Neratovice-Byskovice	6-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Banik Most-Sous (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sokol Zapy

LDWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
16/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	7	3	W
12/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-4	8	2	D
05/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	4	3	W
30/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
15/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	6	5	W
06/06	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	7	1	W
30/05	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
24/05	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	1	L

Banik Most-Sous

DWWWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
12/09	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
05/09	FK Horni Redice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
29/08	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
16/08	Pardubice B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
07/08	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-0	1	3	W
06/06	Slovan Velvary Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
31/05	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
23/05	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
20/05	Usti N Orlici Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sokol Zapy vs Banik Most-Sous?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sokol Zapy win (51%). Probabilities: SK Sokol Zapy 51%, draw 24%, Banik Most-Sous 25%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sokol Zapy vs Banik Most-Sous?

The model expects 2.77 goals (SK Sokol Zapy 1.68 · Banik Most-Sous 1.09), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sokol Zapy vs Banik Most-Sous?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.