Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:15

Prediction: Pardubice B vs Velke Hamry

Team pages: Pardubice B · Velke Hamry

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.77Total

Pardubice B2.6

Velke Hamry1.16

1X2

68% 18% 14%

Pardubice B Draw Velke Hamry

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Pardubice B 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Velke Hamry 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Pardubice B 1–1 Velke Hamry (2 last)

Pardubice B4-1Velke Hamry
Velke Hamry4-1Pardubice B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pardubice B 1532 · Velke Hamry 1439

	Pardubice B	Draw	Velke Hamry
Our model	67%	18%	14%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pardubice B (rating 1532 vs 1439).
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pardubice B	Velke Hamry
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	0.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.7	1.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.98

2 (+2.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.33▼	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 9.93
2	5.50 → 6.25▲	Pinn 13.46 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +11’	1.36	5.00	5.50
19:36 +6’	1.33▼	5.00	6.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +130’	1.28	5.48	6.59
17:25 +136’	1.31▲	5.37▼	6.36▼
07:44 +18’	1.28▼	5.64▲	6.47▲
08:17 +43’	1.29▲	5.80▲	6.68▲
09:52 +10’	1.10▼	9.93▲	13.46▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pardubice B 1–0–1 Velke Hamry

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	4-1 HT 2-0	Velke Hamry
25/10/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Velke Hamry	4-1 HT 1-1	Pardubice B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
3	FC Brno II	12	7	3	2	25	17	24
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
16	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pardubice B	Velke Hamry
SK Sokol Brozany	1-0 W	4-2 W
Slovan Liberec B	2-2 D	1-2 L
FK Teplice B	1-1 D	2-0 W
Zenit Caslav	7-0 W	1-2 L
Banik Most-Sous	1-0 W	0-3 L
Hradec Kralove B	1-2 L	0-0 D
FK Jablonec B	3-2 W	0-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pardubice B (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pardubice B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
26/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
20/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
16/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	10	6	D
06/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
30/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
16/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W

Velke Hamry

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
04/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
19/09	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
12/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	0	0	D
06/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
29/08	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
23/08	FK Jablonec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pardubice B vs Velke Hamry?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pardubice B win (68%). Probabilities: Pardubice B 68%, draw 18%, Velke Hamry 14%.

How many goals are expected in Pardubice B vs Velke Hamry?

The model expects 3.77 goals (Pardubice B 2.6 · Velke Hamry 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pardubice B vs Velke Hamry?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.