Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 01/11, 10:15

Prediction: Pardubice B vs FK Jablonec B

Team pages: Pardubice B · FK Jablonec B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Pardubice B2.23

FK Jablonec B1.84

1X2

46% 22% 32%

Pardubice B Draw FK Jablonec B

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Pardubice B 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWLWLWW

FK Jablonec B 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Pardubice B 4–2 FK Jablonec B (6 last)

Pardubice B3-2FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B3-6Pardubice B
Pardubice B2-0FK Jablonec B
FK Jablonec B1-3Pardubice B
FK Jablonec B2-1Pardubice B
Pardubice B2-4FK Jablonec B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pardubice B 1578 · FK Jablonec B 1555

	Pardubice B	Draw	FK Jablonec B
Our model	47%	22%	32%
Market	46%	23%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pardubice B: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pardubice B	FK Jablonec B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.9	2.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.2	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.00

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.97 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:27 +20’	1.95	4.00	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +24’	2.00	3.84	2.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pardubice B 4–0–2 FK Jablonec B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	3-2 HT 1-1	FK Jablonec B
08/11/25 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	3-6 HT 3-3	Pardubice B
26/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Jablonec B
28/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	1-3 HT 1-1	Pardubice B
09/03/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Jablonec B	2-1 HT 0-0	Pardubice B
12/08/23 Czechia 3. Liga	Pardubice B	2-4 HT 2-3	FK Jablonec B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pardubice B	FK Jablonec B
SK Sokol Zapy	4-0 W	1-1 D
Velke Hamry	6-0 W	6-0 W
SK Sokol Brozany	1-0 W	3-1 W
Slovan Liberec B	2-2 D	2-0 W
FK Teplice B	1-1 D	4-1 W
Zenit Caslav	7-0 W	3-2 W
Banik Most-Sous	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec B (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pardubice B

WWDDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	4-0	4	0	W
18/10	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	5	3	W
10/10	FK Neratovice-Byskovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
26/09	MFK Chrudim Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
20/09	Benatky Nad Jizerou Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
16/09	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	10	6	D
06/09	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
30/08	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
16/08	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

FK Jablonec B

WDWDWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Teplice B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	4	W
18/10	Zenit Caslav Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	9	6	W
11/10	SK Sokol Brozany Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	5	W
03/10	Banik Most-Sous Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-1	4	5	W
27/09	Hradec Kralove B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
20/09	Varnsdorf Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
13/09	Mladá Boleslav B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	2	D
06/09	Slovan Liberec B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
30/08	SK Sokol Zapy Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
23/08	Velke Hamry Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pardubice B vs FK Jablonec B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pardubice B win (46%). Probabilities: Pardubice B 46%, draw 22%, FK Jablonec B 32%.

How many goals are expected in Pardubice B vs FK Jablonec B?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Pardubice B 2.23 · FK Jablonec B 1.84), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pardubice B vs FK Jablonec B?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.