Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Ceske Budejovice vs Motorlet Praha

Team pages: Ceske Budejovice · Motorlet Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Ceske Budejovice2.4

Motorlet Praha1.39

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Ceske Budejovice Draw Motorlet Praha

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Ceske Budejovice 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWLWWWD

Motorlet Praha 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWLDW

Head-to-head

Ceske Budejovice 0–1–0 Motorlet Praha (1 last)

Motorlet Praha2-2Ceske Budejovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ceske Budejovice 1563 · Motorlet Praha 1543

	Ceske Budejovice	Draw	Motorlet Praha
Our model	59%	20%	20%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ceske Budejovice	Motorlet Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.8	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 7.3	3.2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:06 +3’	1.53	4.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceske Budejovice 0–1–0 Motorlet Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/07/16 Czechia Cup	Motorlet Praha	2-2 HT 0-1	Ceske Budejovice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ceske Budejovice	Motorlet Praha
Kraluv Dvur	3-3 D	1-4 L
FK Loko Praha	2-1 W	3-0 W
Povltavska FA	3-1 W	2-0 W
Benesov	3-0 W	1-1 D
Jiskra Domazlice	3-6 L	2-5 L
Aritma Praha	7-0 W	4-0 W
FC Pisek	2-3 L	2-0 W
Dukla Praha B	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ceske Budejovice

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-3	5	3	D
17/10	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	12	4	W
03/10	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	8	4	W
26/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-6	11	2	L
19/09	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
11/09	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	7	L
04/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
30/08	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	1	8	W
23/08	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	3	W

Motorlet Praha

WWWLDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
17/10	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	7	D
10/10	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-4	3	7	L
03/10	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	7	7	W
26/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
19/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
12/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-5	1	8	L
09/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	13	3	W
05/09	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	3	5	W
30/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ceske Budejovice vs Motorlet Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceske Budejovice win (59%). Probabilities: Ceske Budejovice 59%, draw 21%, Motorlet Praha 20%.

How many goals are expected in Ceske Budejovice vs Motorlet Praha?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Ceske Budejovice 2.4 · Motorlet Praha 1.39), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ceske Budejovice vs Motorlet Praha?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.