Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 17/10, 15:30

Prediction: Ceske Budejovice vs FK Loko Praha

Team pages: Ceske Budejovice · FK Loko Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

Ceske Budejovice2.96

FK Loko Praha1.15

1X2

73% 15% 11%

Ceske Budejovice Draw FK Loko Praha

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Ceske Budejovice 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWLWW

FK Loko Praha 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWLLLW

Head-to-head

Ceske Budejovice 1–0 FK Loko Praha (1 last)

FK Loko Praha1-4Ceske Budejovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ceske Budejovice 1553 · FK Loko Praha 1507

	Ceske Budejovice	Draw	FK Loko Praha
Our model	73%	15%	11%
Market	73%	16%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ceske Budejovice (rating 1553 vs 1507).
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ceske Budejovice	FK Loko Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 8	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)2.00

2 (+2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 6.94 ★
2	8.00 → 8.00	Pinn 9.59

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +6’	1.22	5.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +1’	1.16	6.94	9.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ceske Budejovice 1–0–0 FK Loko Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/19 Czechia Cup	FK Loko Praha	1-4 HT 1-2	Ceske Budejovice

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	12	7	5	0	21	5	26
2	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
3	FC Brno II	12	7	3	2	25	17	24
4	Frydek Mistek	12	6	3	3	19	13	21
5	SK Hranice	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	12	5	3	4	21	14	18
8	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
9	MFK Vitkovice	12	4	4	4	12	13	16
10	TJ Unie Hlubina	12	4	3	5	28	27	15
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	13	24	14
15	FK Blansko	12	2	5	5	18	28	11
16	FC Vsetin	12	3	1	8	11	26	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ceske Budejovice	FK Loko Praha
Povltavska FA	3-1 W	4-2 W
Benesov	3-0 W	2-2 D
Jiskra Domazlice	3-6 L	2-0 W
Aritma Praha	7-0 W	2-2 D
FC Pisek	2-3 L	2-2 D
Dukla Praha B	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Loko Praha (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ceske Budejovice

WWWWDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	12	4	W
03/10	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	8	4	W
26/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	3-6	11	2	L
19/09	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	7-0	9	1	W
11/09	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	7	L
04/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
30/08	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-2	1	8	W
23/08	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
16/08	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/08	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W

FK Loko Praha

WDDWDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	10	1	W
03/10	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	7	7	L
26/09	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	4	6	L
19/09	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	0	2	L
12/09	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	3-1	4-2	7	1	W
05/09	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	5	5	D
29/08	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ceske Budejovice vs FK Loko Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ceske Budejovice win (73%). Probabilities: Ceske Budejovice 73%, draw 15%, FK Loko Praha 11%.

How many goals are expected in Ceske Budejovice vs FK Loko Praha?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Ceske Budejovice 2.96 · FK Loko Praha 1.15), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ceske Budejovice vs FK Loko Praha?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.