Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Admira Praha vs Povltavska FA

Team pages: FK Admira Praha · Povltavska FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

FK Admira Praha2.66

Povltavska FA1.17

1X2

69% 17% 14%

FK Admira Praha Draw Povltavska FA

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Admira Praha 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWLDW

Povltavska FA 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

FK Admira Praha 3–1–2 Povltavska FA (6 last)

Povltavska FA1-2FK Admira Praha
FK Admira Praha2-2Povltavska FA
Povltavska FA2-0FK Admira Praha
FK Admira Praha1-3Povltavska FA
FK Admira Praha2-1Povltavska FA
Povltavska FA0-4FK Admira Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Admira Praha 1474 · Povltavska FA 1395

	FK Admira Praha	Draw	Povltavska FA
Our model	68%	18%	14%
Market	69%	17%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Admira Praha (rating 1474 vs 1395).
H2H favours FK Admira Praha: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Admira Praha	Povltavska FA
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.2	0.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.5	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.25

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.43 ★
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:19 +17’	1.30	5.25	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:47 +110’	1.43	4.83	4.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Admira Praha 3–1–2 Povltavska FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/04/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Povltavska FA	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Admira Praha
29/09/24 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Admira Praha	2-2 HT 1-0	Povltavska FA
07/04/24 Czechia 3. Liga	Povltavska FA	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Admira Praha
10/09/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Admira Praha	1-3 HT 1-0	Povltavska FA
12/04/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FK Admira Praha	2-1 HT 2-0	Povltavska FA
04/09/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Povltavska FA	0-4 HT 0-2	FK Admira Praha

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	12	7	5	0	21	5	26
2	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
3	FC Brno II	12	7	3	2	25	17	24
4	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
5	Frydek Mistek	12	6	3	3	19	13	21
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	12	5	3	4	21	14	18
8	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
9	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
10	TJ Unie Hlubina	12	4	3	5	28	27	15
11	CSK Uhersky Brod	12	4	3	5	18	22	15
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	12	4	2	6	13	24	14
15	FK Blansko	12	2	5	5	18	28	11
16	FC Vsetin	12	3	1	8	11	26	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Admira Praha	Povltavska FA
Benesov	4-1 W	1-3 L
Jiskra Domazlice	4-4 D	3-5 L
Aritma Praha	2-3 L	0-0 D
FC Pisek	4-1 W	0-3 L
Sparta Prague B	1-0 W	0-0 D
Ceske Budejovice	0-5 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Admira Praha (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Admira Praha

LWLLLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	4-1	4	6	W
04/10	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-4	4-4	6	2	D
26/09	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
20/09	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
06/09	Viktoria Plzen B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
30/08	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
23/08	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
16/08	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L

Povltavska FA

LDLLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	3	4	L
04/10	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	6	7	L
26/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
19/09	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-3	2-4	1	1	L
06/09	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
02/09	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	3-5	4	5	L
29/08	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	2	L
15/08	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Admira Praha vs Povltavska FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Admira Praha win (69%). Probabilities: FK Admira Praha 69%, draw 17%, Povltavska FA 14%.

How many goals are expected in FK Admira Praha vs Povltavska FA?

The model expects 3.83 goals (FK Admira Praha 2.66 · Povltavska FA 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Admira Praha vs Povltavska FA?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.