Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:30

Prediction: Viktoria Plzen B vs Aritma Praha

Team pages: Viktoria Plzen B · Aritma Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Viktoria Plzen B2.41

Aritma Praha1.04

1X2

67% 19% 14%

Viktoria Plzen B Draw Aritma Praha

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Viktoria Plzen B 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWLWD

Aritma Praha 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLLLLWDD

Head-to-head

Viktoria Plzen B 1–1–0 Aritma Praha (2 last)

Viktoria Plzen B2-2Aritma Praha
Aritma Praha3-4Viktoria Plzen B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viktoria Plzen B 1538 · Aritma Praha 1448

	Viktoria Plzen B	Draw	Aritma Praha
Our model	67%	19%	14%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktoria Plzen B (rating 1538 vs 1448).
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viktoria Plzen B	Aritma Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6	2.1 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.21 ★
2	6.25 → 6.25	Pinn 6.46

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +8’	1.33	5.00	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +118’	1.32	5.21	6.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Plzen B 1–1–0 Aritma Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Czechia 3. Liga	Viktoria Plzen B	2-2 HT 0-1	Aritma Praha
27/09/25 Czechia 3. Liga	Aritma Praha	3-4 HT 1-2	Viktoria Plzen B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Artis Brno B	13	8	5	0	22	5	29
2	SK Unicov	12	8	2	2	26	14	26
3	FC Brno II	12	7	3	2	25	17	24
4	Frydek Mistek	13	7	3	3	21	14	24
5	SK Hranice	13	7	2	4	18	11	23
6	Sigma Olomouc B	12	6	1	5	20	16	19
7	Slovacko II	13	5	3	5	22	16	18
8	TJ Unie Hlubina	13	5	3	5	29	27	18
9	CSK Uhersky Brod	13	5	3	5	22	22	18
10	FK Hodonin	12	5	2	5	17	13	17
11	MFK Vitkovice	13	4	4	5	13	15	16
12	FC Trinity Zlin B	12	4	3	5	13	17	15
13	MFK Karvina B	12	4	2	6	19	21	14
14	SFK Vrchovina	13	4	2	7	13	28	14
15	FK Blansko	13	2	5	6	18	29	11
16	FC Vsetin	13	3	1	9	11	27	10
17	Polanka	12	2	3	7	11	17	9
18	MFK Havirov	12	1	5	6	9	20	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viktoria Plzen B	Aritma Praha
Bohemians 1905 B	0-3 L	3-3 D
FK Pribram B	3-1 W	1-1 D
FK Admira Praha	1-0 W	3-2 W
Ceske Budejovice	2-4 L	0-7 L
Slavia Prague U20	4-1 W	1-3 L
Motorlet Praha	1-0 W	0-4 L
Kraluv Dvur	2-2 D	0-2 L
FK Loko Praha	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Viktoria Plzen B (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viktoria Plzen B

WDWWLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	6	9	D
04/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
20/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
06/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	4	8	L
22/08	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
16/08	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
05/06	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	1	W

Aritma Praha

DDDLLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	3-3	5	8	D
03/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
26/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	8	3	W
19/09	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-7	1	1	L
12/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	10	4	L
05/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	10	5	L
29/08	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
22/08	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Benesov Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viktoria Plzen B vs Aritma Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viktoria Plzen B win (67%). Probabilities: Viktoria Plzen B 67%, draw 19%, Aritma Praha 14%.

How many goals are expected in Viktoria Plzen B vs Aritma Praha?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Viktoria Plzen B 2.41 · Aritma Praha 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen B vs Aritma Praha?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.