Football · Czechia 3. Liga · 01/11, 10:30

Prediction: Viktoria Plzen B vs Benesov

Team pages: Viktoria Plzen B · Benesov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Viktoria Plzen B2.47

Benesov1.1

1X2

67% 18% 15%

Viktoria Plzen B Draw Benesov

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Viktoria Plzen B 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWDWW

Benesov 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLDLLLWW

Head-to-head

Viktoria Plzen B 3–1–1 Benesov (5 last)

Viktoria Plzen B2-0Benesov
Benesov1-1Viktoria Plzen B
Viktoria Plzen B2-0Benesov
Benesov1-6Viktoria Plzen B
Benesov3-2Viktoria Plzen B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viktoria Plzen B 1563 · Benesov 1477

	Viktoria Plzen B	Draw	Benesov
Our model	67%	19%	14%
Market	67%	18%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktoria Plzen B (rating 1563 vs 1477).
H2H favours Viktoria Plzen B: 3-1-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viktoria Plzen B	Benesov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	3.3 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.80

Under 3.52.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.34
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.31 ★
2	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 6.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:45 +4’	1.33	5.00	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +27’	1.34	5.31	6.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Plzen B 3–1–1 Benesov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Viktoria Plzen B	2-0 HT 1-0	Benesov
09/10/21 Czechia 3. Liga	Benesov	1-1 HT 0-1	Viktoria Plzen B
13/06/20 Europe Friendlies	Viktoria Plzen B	2-0 HT 0-0	Benesov
03/06/20 Europe Friendlies	Benesov	1-6 HT 1-3	Viktoria Plzen B
19/10/19 Czechia 3. Liga	Benesov	3-2 HT 2-2	Viktoria Plzen B

Standings · Czechia 3. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Unicov	14	10	2	2	31	17	32
2	SK Artis Brno B	14	8	5	1	23	7	29
3	Frydek Mistek	14	8	3	3	24	14	27
4	FC Brno II	14	8	3	3	31	23	27
5	Sigma Olomouc B	14	8	1	5	28	17	25
6	SK Hranice	14	7	2	5	18	13	23
7	TJ Unie Hlubina	14	6	3	5	31	28	21
8	CSK Uhersky Brod	14	6	3	5	24	23	21
9	MFK Vitkovice	14	5	4	5	17	17	19
10	Slovacko II	14	5	3	6	23	18	18
11	FC Trinity Zlin B	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
12	FK Hodonin	14	5	2	7	20	18	17
13	MFK Karvina B	14	5	2	7	22	24	17
14	SFK Vrchovina	14	5	2	7	15	28	17
15	MFK Havirov	14	2	5	7	12	23	11
16	FK Blansko	14	2	5	7	18	32	11
17	FC Vsetin	14	3	1	10	11	29	10
18	Polanka	14	2	3	9	12	25	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viktoria Plzen B	Benesov
Bohemians 1905 B	0-3 L	2-1 W
FK Pribram B	3-1 W	3-2 W
FK Admira Praha	1-0 W	1-4 L
Ceske Budejovice	2-4 L	0-3 L
Slavia Prague U20	4-1 W	0-2 L
Motorlet Praha	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Viktoria Plzen B (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viktoria Plzen B

WWLWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Jiskra Domazlice Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	3	5	W
18/10	Aritma Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
09/10	FC Pisek Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	6	9	D
04/10	Dukla Praha B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
20/09	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/09	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
06/09	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
30/08	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	2-4	4	8	L
22/08	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
16/08	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Benesov

WDDLDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	FK Pribram B Czechia 3. Liga	3-0	3-2	7	5	W
24/10	Bohemians 1905 B Czechia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/10	FK Admira Praha Czechia 3. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	6	L
03/10	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 3. Liga	0-3	0-3	4	4	L
26/09	Slavia Prague U20 Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	12	4	L
19/09	Motorlet Praha Czechia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
12/09	Kraluv Dvur Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-4	6	1	L
05/09	FK Loko Praha Czechia 3. Liga	2-2	2-2	1	5	D
02/09	Sparta Prague B Czechia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
29/08	Povltavska FA Czechia 3. Liga	2-1	3-1	14	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viktoria Plzen B vs Benesov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viktoria Plzen B win (67%). Probabilities: Viktoria Plzen B 67%, draw 18%, Benesov 15%.

How many goals are expected in Viktoria Plzen B vs Benesov?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Viktoria Plzen B 2.47 · Benesov 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen B vs Benesov?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.