Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Banik Kalinovo vs Fomat Martin

Team pages: Banik Kalinovo · Fomat Martin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Banik Kalinovo1.59

Fomat Martin1.87

1X2

32% 24% 44%

Banik Kalinovo Draw Fomat Martin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Banik Kalinovo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLLLW

Fomat Martin 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Banik Kalinovo 3–1–2 Fomat Martin (6 last)

Fomat Martin2-0Banik Kalinovo
Banik Kalinovo2-1Fomat Martin
Banik Kalinovo2-2Fomat Martin
Fomat Martin1-0Banik Kalinovo
Banik Kalinovo1-0Fomat Martin
Fomat Martin0-1Banik Kalinovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banik Kalinovo 1454 · Fomat Martin 1529

	Banik Kalinovo	Draw	Fomat Martin
Our model	32%	24%	44%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fomat Martin (rating 1454 vs 1529).
H2H favours Banik Kalinovo: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banik Kalinovo	Fomat Martin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	2.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.5	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.70

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +28’	2.80	3.70	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Banik Kalinovo 3–1–2 Fomat Martin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Fomat Martin	2-0 HT 1-0	Banik Kalinovo
24/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Banik Kalinovo	2-1 HT 0-0	Fomat Martin
01/05/22 Slovakia 3. Liga	Banik Kalinovo	2-2 HT 1-1	Fomat Martin
04/09/21 Slovakia 3. Liga	Fomat Martin	1-0 HT 0-0	Banik Kalinovo
20/06/21 Slovakia 3. Liga	Banik Kalinovo	1-0 HT 1-0	Fomat Martin
16/06/18 Slovakia 3. Liga	Fomat Martin	0-1 HT 0-0	Banik Kalinovo

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	9	7	2	0	30	11	23
2	Namestovo	9	7	1	1	25	9	22
3	FTC Filakovo	9	5	3	1	14	8	18
4	Fomat Martin	9	6	0	3	23	18	18
5	FK Cadca	9	5	1	3	23	11	16
6	FK Podkonice	9	4	2	3	23	17	14
7	Rimavska Sobota	9	4	0	5	13	18	12
8	SK Novohrad Lucenec	9	3	1	5	13	13	10
9	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	9	3	1	5	10	16	10
10	Banik Kalinovo	9	3	1	5	11	16	10
11	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	9	2	2	5	7	16	8
12	Tj Medzibrod	9	2	2	5	6	18	8
13	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	9	2	1	6	12	25	7
14	Dolny Kubin	9	1	1	7	6	20	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banik Kalinovo	Fomat Martin
SK Novohrad Lucenec	1-2 L	2-1 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica B	0-3 L	1-0 W
FK Podkonice	2-3 L	4-3 W
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	2-1 W	0-1 L
FK Cadca	0-4 L	0-1 L
FTC Filakovo	0-0 D	1-6 L
Rimavska Sobota	1-2 L	5-1 W
Dolny Kubin	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fomat Martin (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banik Kalinovo

DWLDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
06/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
23/08	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Fomat Martin

LWWWLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	7	W
19/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	4-3	–	–	W
12/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-6	2	3	L
22/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
15/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	7-3	–	–	W
30/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-5	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banik Kalinovo vs Fomat Martin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fomat Martin win (44%). Probabilities: Banik Kalinovo 32%, draw 24%, Fomat Martin 44%.

How many goals are expected in Banik Kalinovo vs Fomat Martin?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Banik Kalinovo 1.59 · Fomat Martin 1.87), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Banik Kalinovo vs Fomat Martin?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.