Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 18/10, 14:30

Prediction: FTC Filakovo vs FK Cadca

Team pages: FTC Filakovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

FTC Filakovo1.65

FK Cadca1.34

1X2

44% 25% 31%

FTC Filakovo Draw FK Cadca

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FTC Filakovo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLDWWW

FK Cadca 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLDWWW

Head-to-head

FTC Filakovo 1–1 FK Cadca (2 last)

FK Cadca3-1FTC Filakovo
FTC Filakovo1-0FK Cadca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FTC Filakovo 1556 · FK Cadca 1569

	FTC Filakovo	Draw	FK Cadca
Our model	44%	26%	30%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 14.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FTC Filakovo	FK Cadca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	2.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 9	4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.60

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +9’	2.00	3.60	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FTC Filakovo 1–0–1 FK Cadca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/06/19 Slovakia 3. Liga	FK Cadca	3-1 HT 2-0	FTC Filakovo
10/06/18 Slovakia 3. Liga	FTC Filakovo	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Cadca

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Namestovo	11	9	1	1	31	11	28
2	MFK Ruzomberok II	10	8	2	0	33	13	26
3	FTC Filakovo	10	6	3	1	19	10	21
4	Fomat Martin	11	7	0	4	27	21	21
5	FK Cadca	10	6	1	3	26	13	19
6	FK Podkonice	11	4	4	3	25	19	16
7	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	11	4	2	5	13	18	14
8	Banik Kalinovo	10	4	1	5	12	16	13
9	Rimavska Sobota	11	4	0	7	15	22	12
10	SK Novohrad Lucenec	11	3	1	7	17	19	10
11	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	10	2	2	6	13	26	8
12	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
13	Tj Medzibrod	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
14	Dolny Kubin	11	1	3	7	9	23	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FTC Filakovo	FK Cadca
Rimavska Sobota	1-0 W	3-2 W
Dolny Kubin	1-0 W	2-1 W
MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	1-1 D	6-0 W
Namestovo	2-5 L	1-1 D
MFK Ruzomberok II	1-1 D	2-3 L
Fomat Martin	6-1 W	1-0 W
Banik Kalinovo	0-0 D	4-0 W
SK Novohrad Lucenec	1-0 W	1-3 L
Dukla Banska Bystrica B	1-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Cadca (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FTC Filakovo

WWDWDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
03/10	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	2-2	2-5	–	–	L
05/09	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	6-1	9	3	W
23/08	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/08	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

FK Cadca

LWLWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-2	–	–	W
03/10	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
26/09	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
19/09	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	MFK Ruzomberok II Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	7	4	L
05/09	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Banik Kalinovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
22/08	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
09/08	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FTC Filakovo vs FK Cadca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FTC Filakovo win (44%). Probabilities: FTC Filakovo 44%, draw 25%, FK Cadca 31%.

How many goals are expected in FTC Filakovo vs FK Cadca?

The model expects 3 goals (FTC Filakovo 1.65 · FK Cadca 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FTC Filakovo vs FK Cadca?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.