Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:30

Prediction: MFK Ruzomberok II vs Banik Kalinovo

Team pages: MFK Ruzomberok II · Banik Kalinovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

MFK Ruzomberok II2.73

Banik Kalinovo1.1

1X2

71% 17% 12%

MFK Ruzomberok II Draw Banik Kalinovo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Ruzomberok II 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWDWW

Banik Kalinovo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

MFK Ruzomberok II 2–1–1 Banik Kalinovo (4 last)

MFK Ruzomberok II2-0Banik Kalinovo
Banik Kalinovo2-1MFK Ruzomberok II
MFK Ruzomberok II5-0Banik Kalinovo
Banik Kalinovo2-2MFK Ruzomberok II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Ruzomberok II 1611 · Banik Kalinovo 1467

	MFK Ruzomberok II	Draw	Banik Kalinovo
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	71%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Ruzomberok II (rating 1611 vs 1467).
H2H favours MFK Ruzomberok II: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Ruzomberok II	Banik Kalinovo
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 8.8	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.25

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.88

2 (+1.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +17’	1.27	5.25	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Ruzomberok II 2–1–1 Banik Kalinovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Ruzomberok II	2-0 HT 1-0	Banik Kalinovo
28/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Banik Kalinovo	2-1 HT 1-1	MFK Ruzomberok II
08/05/19 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Ruzomberok II	5-0 HT 3-0	Banik Kalinovo
29/07/18 Slovakia 3. Liga	Banik Kalinovo	2-2 HT 1-1	MFK Ruzomberok II

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, Center

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Ruzomberok II	10	8	2	0	33	13	26
2	Namestovo	10	8	1	1	28	9	25
3	FTC Filakovo	10	6	3	1	19	10	21
4	FK Cadca	10	6	1	3	26	13	19
5	Fomat Martin	10	6	0	4	23	19	18
6	FK Podkonice	10	4	3	3	24	18	15
7	Banik Kalinovo	10	4	1	5	12	16	13
8	Rimavska Sobota	10	4	0	6	15	21	12
9	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	10	3	2	5	12	18	11
10	SK Novohrad Lucenec	10	3	1	6	15	16	10
11	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto	10	2	2	6	13	26	8
12	Dukla Banska Bystrica B	10	2	2	6	7	19	8
13	Tj Medzibrod	10	2	2	6	8	23	8
14	Dolny Kubin	10	1	2	7	8	22	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Ruzomberok II	Banik Kalinovo
SK Novohrad Lucenec	3-2 W	1-2 L
Dukla Banska Bystrica B	3-0 W	0-3 L
FK Podkonice	4-4 D	2-3 L
TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele	4-1 W	2-1 W
FK Cadca	3-2 W	0-4 L
FTC Filakovo	1-1 D	0-0 D
Rimavska Sobota	5-1 W	1-2 L
Dolny Kubin	6-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Ruzomberok II (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Ruzomberok II

WWWWDWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	3-1	3-2	–	–	W
04/10	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	10	2	W
24/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	3-1	4-4	5	4	D
20/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	4-1	9	3	W
12/09	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	11	4	W
05/09	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Namestovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Banik Kalinovo

WLDLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Fomat Martin Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Tj Medzibrod Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/09	SK Novohrad Lucenec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Dukla Banska Bystrica B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	FK Podkonice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
06/09	TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	FK Cadca Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
23/08	FTC Filakovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Rimavska Sobota Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Dolny Kubin Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Banik Kalinovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Ruzomberok II win (71%). Probabilities: MFK Ruzomberok II 71%, draw 17%, Banik Kalinovo 12%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Banik Kalinovo?

The model expects 3.83 goals (MFK Ruzomberok II 2.73 · Banik Kalinovo 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Ruzomberok II vs Banik Kalinovo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.