Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 18/10, 14:30

Prediction: MFK Snina vs Spisska Nova Ves

Team pages: MFK Snina · Spisska Nova Ves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

MFK Snina1.12

Spisska Nova Ves1.35

1X2

31% 27% 42%

MFK Snina Draw Spisska Nova Ves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Snina 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDDDDD

Spisska Nova Ves 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWLWLL

Head-to-head

MFK Snina 2–1–3 Spisska Nova Ves (6 last)

MFK Snina0-2Spisska Nova Ves
Spisska Nova Ves3-0MFK Snina
MFK Snina3-1Spisska Nova Ves
Spisska Nova Ves0-0MFK Snina
Spisska Nova Ves1-0MFK Snina
Spisska Nova Ves0-2MFK Snina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Snina 1464 · Spisska Nova Ves 1514

	MFK Snina	Draw	Spisska Nova Ves
Our model	30%	30%	41%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spisska Nova Ves (rating 1464 vs 1514).
H2H favours Spisska Nova Ves: 3-1-2.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Snina	Spisska Nova Ves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	6.5 / 10
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	5 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:22 +8’	2.80	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Snina 2–1–3 Spisska Nova Ves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Snina	0-2 HT 0-0	Spisska Nova Ves
30/08/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spisska Nova Ves	3-0 HT 1-0	MFK Snina
14/05/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	MFK Snina	3-1 HT 1-0	Spisska Nova Ves
19/10/24 Slovakia 3. Liga	Spisska Nova Ves	0-0 HT 0-0	MFK Snina
25/02/24 Club Friendly List	Spisska Nova Ves	1-0 HT 0-0	MFK Snina
15/07/23 Club Friendly List	Spisska Nova Ves	0-2 HT 0-2	MFK Snina

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	11	7	3	1	18	4	24
2	Spartak Medzev	11	7	1	3	24	16	22
3	MFK Stara Lubovna	11	6	3	2	24	13	21
4	Partizan Bardejov	11	6	1	4	21	19	19
5	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	10	6	1	3	14	13	19
6	Odeva Lipany	10	5	2	3	23	12	17
7	Spisska Nova Ves	10	5	1	4	13	12	16
8	FK Poprad	11	5	1	5	18	15	16
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	11	4	2	5	16	14	14
10	Slavia TU Kosice	11	4	1	6	21	21	13
11	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	11	4	1	6	12	25	13
12	MFK Snina	10	2	5	3	9	12	11
13	Slovan Sabinov	11	1	3	7	3	17	6
14	MFK Kezmarok	11	0	1	10	6	29	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Snina	Spisska Nova Ves
MFK Stara Lubovna	1-1 D	2-2 D
Slavia TU Kosice	3-3 D	2-1 W
Slovan Sabinov	0-0 D	1-0 W
MFK Vranov nad Toplou	1-1 D	2-0 W
Partizan Bardejov	0-1 L	0-1 L
Spartak Medzev	0-3 L	1-2 L
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	0-3 L	1-2 L
FK Poprad	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Spisska Nova Ves (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Snina

WLLLWDDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
04/10	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	2-2	3-3	3	4	D
26/09	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/09	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
11/09	FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
06/09	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
29/08	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
22/08	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
16/08	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
08/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Spisska Nova Ves

WWWDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	11	5	L
26/09	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	7	W
19/09	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Snina vs Spisska Nova Ves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spisska Nova Ves win (42%). Probabilities: MFK Snina 31%, draw 27%, Spisska Nova Ves 42%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Snina vs Spisska Nova Ves?

The model expects 2.47 goals (MFK Snina 1.12 · Spisska Nova Ves 1.35), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Snina vs Spisska Nova Ves?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.