Football · Malta Premier League · 02/09, 20:00

Prediction: Hibernians vs Valletta

Team pages: Hibernians · Valletta

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Hibernians1.05
Valletta1.38
1X2
28% 28% 44%
Hibernians Draw Valletta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hibernians 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLDWLWLD
Valletta 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLWDLWWL
Head-to-head
Hibernians 1–3–2 Valletta (6 last)
  • Hibernians1-1Valletta
  • Valletta1-0Hibernians
  • Hibernians2-2Valletta
  • Valletta0-2Hibernians
  • Hibernians0-4Valletta
  • Valletta1-1Hibernians
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hibernians 1470 · Valletta 1498
HiberniansDrawValletta
Our model27%30%43%
Market29%27%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Valletta: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HiberniansValletta
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.21.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 62.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 05 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernians 132 Valletta

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Malta Premier League
Hibernians1-1
HT 0-0
Valletta
25/10/25
Malta Premier League
Valletta1-0
HT 1-0
Hibernians
14/04/24
Malta Premier League
Hibernians2-2
HT 0-1
Valletta
09/12/23
Malta Premier League
Valletta0-2
HT 0-1
Hibernians
17/12/22
Malta Premier League
Hibernians0-4
HT 0-0
Valletta
21/08/22
Malta Premier League
Valletta1-1
HT 0-0
Hibernians

Standings · Malta Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Mosta FC 3300 519
2 Floriana 3210 617
3 Marsaxlokk FC 3210 427
4 Valletta 3201 846
5 Birkirkara 3201 516
6 Hibernians 3111 324
7 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 3111 454
8 Balzan FC 3111 444
9 Sliema Wanderers 3102 253
10 Hamrun Spartans 3012 141
11 Birzebbuga 3003 160
12 Gzira United 3003 190

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHiberniansValletta
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 1-1 D 4-2 W
Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 L 1-2 L
Naxxar Lions 1-2 L 1-1 D
Gzira United 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Valletta (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hibernians

LLDLDWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-1 46 D
21/08 Marsaxlokk FC
Malta Premier League
0-1 0-1 L
16/08 Sliema Wanderers
Malta Premier League
1-0 2-0 56 W
30/04 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Malta Premier League
0-2 0-3 141 L
24/04 Mosta FC
Malta Premier League
1-0 2-0 55 W
18/04 Birkirkara
Malta Premier League
0-0 0-0 25 D
14/04 Tarxien Rainbows FC
Malta Premier League
2-2 2-3 106 L
10/04 Sliema Wanderers
Malta Premier League
1-1 1-1 14 D
14/03 Naxxar Lions
Malta Premier League
0-1 1-2 93 L
07/03 Gzira United
Malta Premier League
0-0 0-1 44 L

Valletta

WDLLWDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Marsaxlokk FC
Malta Premier League
0-2 1-2 76 L
23/08 Gzira United
Malta Premier League
0-0 3-0 W
16/08 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Malta Premier League
1-2 4-2 78 W
15/05 Hamrun Spartans
Malta Premier League
0-2 0-2 13 L
09/05 Floriana
Malta Premier League
0-0 0-0 75 D
02/05 Hamrun Spartans
Malta Premier League
0-0 2-1 35 W
26/04 Marsaxlokk FC
Malta Premier League
0-1 0-1 53 L
18/04 Floriana
Malta Premier League
0-0 0-2 58 L
15/04 Naxxar Lions
Malta Premier League
1-0 1-1 53 D
12/04 Gzira United
Malta Premier League
0-0 2-1 115 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hibernians vs Valletta?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Valletta win (44%). Probabilities: Hibernians 28%, draw 28%, Valletta 44%.

How many goals are expected in Hibernians vs Valletta?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Hibernians 1.05 · Valletta 1.38), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hibernians vs Valletta?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.