Football · Malta Premier League · 06/09, 20:30
Prediction: Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Hamrun Spartans
Team pages: Saint Patrick FC Zabbar · Hamrun Spartans
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0.81
Hamrun Spartans1.47
1X2
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Draw
Hamrun Spartans
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Hamrun Spartans
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
0–1–4
Hamrun Spartans
(5 last)
- Hamrun Spartans0-0Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
- Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0-1Hamrun Spartans
- Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0-1Hamrun Spartans
- Saint Patrick FC Zabbar1-2Hamrun Spartans
- Hamrun Spartans3-1Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 1479 · Hamrun Spartans 1482
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | Draw | Hamrun Spartans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 29% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 25% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hamrun Spartans: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | Hamrun Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 3.4 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 0–1–4 Hamrun Spartans
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Malta Premier League | Hamrun Spartans | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
| 16/09/25 Malta Premier League | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hamrun Spartans |
| 09/02/25 Malta Premier League | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hamrun Spartans |
| 05/02/25 Malta FA Trophy | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hamrun Spartans |
| 18/08/24 Malta Premier League | Hamrun Spartans | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar |
Standings · Malta Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floriana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Valletta | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Mosta FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Marsaxlokk FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Hibernians | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Sliema Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Hamrun Spartans | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saint Patrick FC Zabbar | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Valletta | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Mosta FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Birkirkara | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Birzebbuga Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 10/05 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 05/05 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 30/04 | Hibernians Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Sliema Wanderers Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Tarxien Rainbows FC Malta Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/04 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Hamrun Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Birkirkara Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/08 | Mosta FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | Valletta Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Floriana Malta Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Naxxar Lions Malta Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/04 | Gzira United Malta Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Marsaxlokk FC Malta Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Hamrun Spartans?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hamrun Spartans win (53%). Probabilities: Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 20%, draw 27%, Hamrun Spartans 53%.
How many goals are expected in Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Hamrun Spartans?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Saint Patrick FC Zabbar 0.81 · Hamrun Spartans 1.47), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Saint Patrick FC Zabbar vs Hamrun Spartans?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.