Football · Denmark Division 3 · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Bronshoj BK vs Næsby

Team pages: Bronshoj BK · Næsby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Bronshoj BK2.02
Næsby1.47
1X2
50% 23% 27%
Bronshoj BK Draw Næsby
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bronshoj BK 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWDDWWL
Næsby 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLDWWLDL
Head-to-head
Bronshoj BK 2–2–2 Næsby (6 last)
  • Næsby0-0Bronshoj BK
  • Næsby4-1Bronshoj BK
  • Bronshoj BK1-1Næsby
  • Næsby1-5Bronshoj BK
  • Bronshoj BK3-2Næsby
  • Næsby2-1Bronshoj BK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bronshoj BK 1524 · Næsby 1496
Bronshoj BKDrawNæsby
Our model49%23%27%
Market50%22%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bronshoj BKNæsby
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.52.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.81 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.42.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bronshoj BK 2–2–2 Næsby

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
Denmark Division 3
Næsby0-0
HT 0-0
Bronshoj BK
16/05/26
Denmark Division 3
Næsby4-1
HT 1-0
Bronshoj BK
11/04/26
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK1-1
HT 0-1
Næsby
18/10/25
Denmark Division 3
Næsby1-5
HT 0-2
Bronshoj BK
14/09/25
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK3-2
HT 1-1
Næsby
17/05/25
Denmark Division 3
Næsby2-1
HT 2-0
Bronshoj BK

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 13922 321929
2 Bronshoj BK 13742 271625
3 Vanløse 13661 191124
4 FC Helsingor 13634 211721
5 Horsholm-Usserod IK 13544 292219
6 Næsby 13535 232018
7 Sundby 13517 212116
8 ASA Aarhus 13517 161916
9 Ishoj 13436 142215
10 Frem 13355 212114
11 Holstebro 13418 183413
12 Ringsted IF 13139 17366

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBronshoj BKNæsby
Ringsted IF 4-1 W 2-1 W
Holstebro 4-2 W 4-0 W
Frem 1-1 D 0-2 L
Vanløse 1-1 D 2-2 D
ASA Aarhus 5-1 W 0-1 L
FC Helsingor 2-1 W 1-1 D
Horsholm-Usserod IK 2-0 W 4-3 W
Holbæk 1-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bronshoj BK (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bronshoj BK

LWWWWDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-3 123 L
17/10 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
2-0 4-1 51 W
10/10 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-2 54 W
03/10 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 71 D
26/09 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 47 D
19/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
1-1 5-1 83 W
13/09 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-1 –– W
04/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-1 42 W
29/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 65 W
21/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-4 –– L

Næsby

WLWLDWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-2 53 L
17/10 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-2 56 D
10/10 Frem
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 36 L
03/10 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-0 4-0 52 W
26/09 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
1-1 2-1 52 W
19/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 134 D
13/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-1 33 L
05/09 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-0 4-3 –– W
29/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
2-2 2-3 72 L
22/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
2-0 5-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bronshoj BK vs Næsby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bronshoj BK win (50%). Probabilities: Bronshoj BK 50%, draw 23%, Næsby 27%.

How many goals are expected in Bronshoj BK vs Næsby?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Bronshoj BK 2.02 · Næsby 1.47), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bronshoj BK vs Næsby?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.