Football · Denmark Division 3 · 15/08, 15:00

Prediction: ASA Aarhus vs Vanløse

Team pages: ASA Aarhus · Vanløse

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
ASA Aarhus1.3
Vanløse1.74
1X2
28% 25% 47%
ASA Aarhus Draw Vanløse
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ASA Aarhus 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWLWDDW
Vanløse 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDLLDWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASA Aarhus 1567 · Vanløse 1495
ASA AarhusDrawVanløse
Our model28%26%47%
Market28%25%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASA Aarhus (rating 1567 vs 1495).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ASA AarhusVanløse
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 0.91.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.30.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/57/0%11/33/56%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.61.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.34.8 / 0.5

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vanløse 2110 524
2 Bronshoj BK 2110 314
3 FC Helsingor 2110 544
3 Holstebro 2110 544
5 Holbæk 2110 434
6 ASA Aarhus 2110 214
7 Næsby 2101 243
8 Horsholm-Usserod IK 2011 341
8 Ringsted IF 2011 341
10 Frem 2011 231
11 Ishoj 2011 011
12 Sundby 2002 250

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASA Aarhus

WWWDWLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 03 W
04/08 Viby
Denmark Cup
0-0 0-0 46 D
01/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 33 D
21/06 Glostrup FK
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
3-1 4-2 77 W
17/06 Glostrup FK
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
0-0 0-1 92 L
13/06 Esbjerg II
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
2-0 5-0 24 W
06/06 Marienlyst
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
1-1 2-2 04 D
30/05 Tarup-Paarup
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
3-0 W
23/05 OKS
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
6-1 W
14/05 Oure FA
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
4-2 W

Vanløse

LLDLLDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-0 76 W
04/08 Køge Nord FC
Denmark Cup
0-0 4-1 W
31/07 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-2 65 D
22/07 Glostrup FK
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 36 W
14/07 Hellerup IK
Club Friendly List
1-1 D
13/06 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
0-4 1-5 92 L
06/06 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 106 L
29/05 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 38 D
25/05 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-2 54 L
16/05 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASA Aarhus vs Vanløse?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vanløse win (47%). Probabilities: ASA Aarhus 28%, draw 25%, Vanløse 47%.

How many goals are expected in ASA Aarhus vs Vanløse?

The model expects 3.03 goals (ASA Aarhus 1.3 · Vanløse 1.74), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ASA Aarhus vs Vanløse?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.