Football · Denmark Division 3 · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Frem vs ASA Aarhus

Team pages: Frem · ASA Aarhus

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Frem1.66
ASA Aarhus0.97
1X2
53% 25% 22%
Frem Draw ASA Aarhus
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Frem 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLDDWWLWDL
ASA Aarhus 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWLWDDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frem 1497 · ASA Aarhus 1539
FremDrawASA Aarhus
Our model52%27%21%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASA Aarhus (rating 1497 vs 1539).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FremASA Aarhus
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.32.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/70/30%38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 51.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.14.3 / 0.3

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holstebro 3210 947
2 FC Helsingor 3210 647
2 Holbæk 3210 647
4 ASA Aarhus 3210 427
5 Bronshoj BK 3120 315
6 Vanløse 3111 644
7 Horsholm-Usserod IK 3111 544
8 Næsby 3111 244
9 Frem 3012 241
10 Ishoj 3012 031
11 Ringsted IF 3012 381
12 Sundby 3003 370

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFremASA Aarhus
Ringsted IF 1-0 W 1-1 D
Ishoj 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Frem (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frem

LLDDWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-1 64 L
07/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 52 D
04/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Cup
0-0 1-0 W
01/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-2 75 L
25/07 Fremad Amager
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 33 W
21/07 Ishoj
Europe Friendlies
1-2 3-2 30 W
13/06 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 57 D
06/06 Odder IGF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-2 56 D
30/05 Vejgaard B
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-2 85 L
23/05 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-3 34 L

ASA Aarhus

WWDWLWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-1 2-1 27 W
11/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 03 W
04/08 Viby
Denmark Cup
0-0 0-0 46 D
01/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 33 D
21/06 Glostrup FK
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
3-1 4-2 77 W
17/06 Glostrup FK
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
0-0 0-1 92 L
13/06 Esbjerg II
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
2-0 5-0 24 W
06/06 Marienlyst
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
1-1 2-2 04 D
30/05 Tarup-Paarup
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
3-0 W
23/05 OKS
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
6-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frem vs ASA Aarhus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frem win (53%). Probabilities: Frem 53%, draw 25%, ASA Aarhus 22%.

How many goals are expected in Frem vs ASA Aarhus?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Frem 1.66 · ASA Aarhus 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Frem vs ASA Aarhus?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.