Football · Denmark Division 3 · 22/08, 13:00

Prediction: Ishoj vs Næsby

Team pages: Ishoj · Næsby

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Ishoj1.13
Næsby1.6
1X2
27% 26% 48%
Ishoj Draw Næsby
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ishoj 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WDLDLLDLLL
Næsby 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWWLWWLD
Head-to-head
Ishoj 2–3–1 Næsby (6 last)
  • Ishoj1-1Næsby
  • Næsby2-1Ishoj
  • Næsby0-3Ishoj
  • Ishoj1-1Næsby
  • Ishoj3-1Næsby
  • Næsby1-1Ishoj
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ishoj 1437 · Næsby 1534
IshojDrawNæsby
Our model26%27%47%
Market27%24%49%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Næsby (rating 1437 vs 1534).
  • H2H favours Ishoj: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

IshojNæsby
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.61 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.32 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.13.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ishoj 231 Næsby

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/06/24
Denmark Division 3
Ishoj1-1
HT 0-1
Næsby
04/05/24
Denmark Division 3
Næsby2-1
HT 1-0
Ishoj
11/11/23
Denmark Division 3
Næsby0-3
HT 0-1
Ishoj
12/08/23
Denmark Division 3
Ishoj1-1
HT 0-0
Næsby
27/05/23
Denmark Division 3
Ishoj3-1
HT 0-0
Næsby
12/05/23
Denmark Division 3
Næsby1-1
HT 1-1
Ishoj

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holstebro 3210 947
2 FC Helsingor 3210 647
2 Holbæk 3210 647
4 ASA Aarhus 3210 427
5 Bronshoj BK 3120 315
6 Vanløse 3111 644
7 Horsholm-Usserod IK 3111 544
8 Næsby 3111 244
9 Frem 3012 241
10 Ishoj 3012 031
11 Ringsted IF 3012 381
12 Sundby 3003 370

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIshojNæsby
Horsholm-Usserod IK 0-2 L 4-2 W
Bronshoj BK 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Næsby (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ishoj

WDLDLLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
0-2 0-2 25 L
11/08 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-1 33 L
04/08 FC Sydkysten
Denmark Cup
1-1 1-3 44 L
31/07 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 15 D
21/07 Frem
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-3 20 L
11/07 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-2 11 L
06/06 Skive
Denmark Division 2
1-0 1-1 41 D
30/05 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-1 92 L
23/05 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-2 56 D
16/05 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
1-1 2-1 24 W

Næsby

WWLWWLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 63 D
08/08 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-2 0-3 116 L
04/08 Kolding BK
Denmark Cup
2-0 3-0 42 W
01/08 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-1 W
25/07 Middelfart
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 21 L
13/06 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-1 4-2 W
06/06 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 44 W
31/05 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-3 35 L
25/05 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 64 W
16/05 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
1-0 4-1 123 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ishoj vs Næsby?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Næsby win (48%). Probabilities: Ishoj 27%, draw 26%, Næsby 48%.

How many goals are expected in Ishoj vs Næsby?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Ishoj 1.13 · Næsby 1.6), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ishoj vs Næsby?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.