Football · Denmark Division 3 · 21/08, 19:00

Prediction: Bronshoj BK vs Holbæk

Team pages: Bronshoj BK · Holbæk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Bronshoj BK1.45
Holbæk1.45
1X2
37% 27% 37%
Bronshoj BK Draw Holbæk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bronshoj BK 3-6-1 (W-D-L)
DLDDWDDWWD
Holbæk 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWLDW
Head-to-head
Bronshoj BK 0–2–4 Holbæk (6 last)
  • Bronshoj BK0-2Holbæk
  • Holbæk5-3Bronshoj BK
  • Holbæk2-0Bronshoj BK
  • Bronshoj BK2-2Holbæk
  • Bronshoj BK1-1Holbæk
  • Holbæk2-1Bronshoj BK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bronshoj BK 1504 · Holbæk 1591
Bronshoj BKDrawHolbæk
Our model36%27%36%
Market37%26%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holbæk (rating 1504 vs 1591).
  • H2H favours Holbæk: 4-2-0.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bronshoj BKHolbæk
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 12.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.91.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.12.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bronshoj BK 024 Holbæk

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK0-2
HT 0-1
Holbæk
16/08/25
Denmark Division 3
Holbæk5-3
HT 2-1
Bronshoj BK
09/06/25
Denmark Division 3
Holbæk2-0
HT 1-0
Bronshoj BK
14/05/25
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK2-2
HT 1-1
Holbæk
22/03/25
Denmark Division 3
Bronshoj BK1-1
HT 1-0
Holbæk
11/08/24
Denmark Division 3
Holbæk2-1
HT 2-0
Bronshoj BK

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holstebro 3210 947
2 FC Helsingor 3210 647
2 Holbæk 3210 647
4 ASA Aarhus 3210 427
5 Bronshoj BK 3120 315
6 Vanløse 3111 644
7 Horsholm-Usserod IK 3111 544
8 Næsby 3111 244
9 Frem 3012 241
10 Ishoj 3012 031
11 Ringsted IF 3012 381
12 Sundby 3003 370

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBronshoj BKHolbæk
Sundby 3-1 W 2-1 W
Hellerup IK 2-2 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bronshoj BK

DLDDWDDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 143 D
08/08 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-1 95 W
04/08 HB Køge
Denmark Cup
1-0 1-0 142 W
31/07 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 65 D
25/07 Hellerup IK
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-2 20 D
22/07 Avarta
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 32 W
11/07 Fremad Amager
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-2 D
13/06 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
1-1 2-2 43 D
06/06 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-2 52 L
29/05 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 58 D

Holbæk

WWWWWWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-1 83 W
08/08 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
1-1 2-2 D
04/08 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Cup
0-2 1-2 L
01/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-1 15 W
18/07 Hellerup IK
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-1 62 W
13/06 Vejgaard B
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 50 W
04/06 Sundby
Denmark Division 3
0-0 5-1 50 W
30/05 IF Lyseng
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-1 81 W
23/05 Frem
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-1 24 W
16/05 Odder IGF
Denmark Division 3
2-1 4-2 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bronshoj BK vs Holbæk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bronshoj BK win (37%). Probabilities: Bronshoj BK 37%, draw 27%, Holbæk 37%.

How many goals are expected in Bronshoj BK vs Holbæk?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Bronshoj BK 1.45 · Holbæk 1.45), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bronshoj BK vs Holbæk?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.