Football · Denmark Division 3 · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Sundby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK

Team pages: Sundby · Horsholm-Usserod IK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
Sundby1.84
Horsholm-Usserod IK1.9
1X2
37% 24% 39%
Sundby Draw Horsholm-Usserod IK
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sundby 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLDLWLWLL
Horsholm-Usserod IK 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDLDWW
Head-to-head
Sundby 3–2 Horsholm-Usserod IK (5 last)
  • Sundby2-1Horsholm-Usserod IK
  • Horsholm-Usserod IK4-3Sundby
  • Sundby3-1Horsholm-Usserod IK
  • Horsholm-Usserod IK2-1Sundby
  • Sundby3-2Horsholm-Usserod IK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sundby 1478 · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1501
SundbyDrawHorsholm-Usserod IK
Our model37%23%40%
Market37%24%39%
Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sundby: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SundbyHorsholm-Usserod IK
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.11.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.81.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 02.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sundby 302 Horsholm-Usserod IK

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Denmark Division 3
Sundby2-1
HT 0-0
Horsholm-Usserod IK
11/10/25
Denmark Division 3
Horsholm-Usserod IK4-3
HT 1-2
Sundby
20/07/24
Europe Friendlies
Sundby3-1
HT 2-1
Horsholm-Usserod IK
24/05/24
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
Horsholm-Usserod IK2-1
HT 0-0
Sundby
19/04/24
Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion
Sundby3-2
HT 1-2
Horsholm-Usserod IK

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holstebro 3210 947
2 FC Helsingor 3210 647
2 Holbæk 3210 647
4 ASA Aarhus 3210 427
5 Bronshoj BK 3120 315
6 Vanløse 3111 644
7 Horsholm-Usserod IK 3111 544
8 Næsby 3111 244
9 Frem 3012 241
10 Ishoj 3012 031
11 Ringsted IF 3012 381
12 Sundby 3003 370

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSundbyHorsholm-Usserod IK
Bronshoj BK 1-3 L 2-3 L
Næsby 1-2 L 2-4 L
Frem 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sundby

DDLDLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-2 03 L
08/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-3 65 L
05/08 Slagelse
Denmark Cup
2-0 4-0 W
01/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-2 L
25/07 Ringsted IF
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-1 51 W
21/07 Fremad Amager
Europe Friendlies
1-2 1-3 32 L
13/06 Frem
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 27 D
04/06 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-5 00 L
30/05 Odder IGF
Denmark Division 3
0-2 3-3 83 D
23/05 IF Lyseng
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-2 63 D

Horsholm-Usserod IK

LDWLWDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-0 45 W
12/08 IF Foroyar
Denmark Cup
0-0 2-0 W
07/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 62 D
01/08 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-2 2-3 62 L
25/07 FC Roskilde
Europe Friendlies
2-1 3-3 31 D
11/07 Ishoj
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 31 W
13/06 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
1-2 2-4 L
06/06 Vanløse
Denmark Division 3
1-0 2-0 26 W
29/05 FA 2000
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-1 12 D
22/05 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-3 10 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sundby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Horsholm-Usserod IK win (39%). Probabilities: Sundby 37%, draw 24%, Horsholm-Usserod IK 39%.

How many goals are expected in Sundby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Sundby 1.84 · Horsholm-Usserod IK 1.9), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sundby vs Horsholm-Usserod IK?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.