Football · Denmark Division 3 · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: Næsby vs Bronshoj BK

Team pages: Næsby · Bronshoj BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Næsby1.7

Bronshoj BK1.59

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Næsby Draw Bronshoj BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Næsby 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLWWL

Bronshoj BK 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWDDWW

Head-to-head

Næsby 3–1–2 Bronshoj BK (6 last)

Næsby4-1Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK1-1Næsby
Næsby1-5Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK3-2Næsby
Næsby2-1Bronshoj BK
Bronshoj BK2-4Næsby

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Næsby 1525 · Bronshoj BK 1520

	Næsby	Draw	Bronshoj BK
Our model	40%	25%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Næsby: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Næsby	Bronshoj BK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.9	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:38 +5’	2.25	3.60	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Næsby 3–1–2 Bronshoj BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Denmark Division 3	Næsby	4-1 HT 1-0	Bronshoj BK
11/04/26 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	1-1 HT 0-1	Næsby
18/10/25 Denmark Division 3	Næsby	1-5 HT 0-2	Bronshoj BK
14/09/25 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	3-2 HT 1-1	Næsby
17/05/25 Denmark Division 3	Næsby	2-1 HT 2-0	Bronshoj BK
26/04/25 Denmark Division 3	Bronshoj BK	2-4 HT 0-0	Næsby

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vanløse	2	1	1	0	5	2	4
2	Bronshoj BK	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
3	FC Helsingor	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
3	Holstebro	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
5	Holbæk	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
6	ASA Aarhus	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Næsby	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
8	Horsholm-Usserod IK	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
8	Ringsted IF	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
10	Frem	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
11	Ishoj	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
12	Sundby	2	0	0	2	2	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Næsby	Bronshoj BK
Vanløse	0-3 L	1-1 D
Sundby	2-1 W	3-1 W
Horsholm-Usserod IK	4-2 W	3-2 W
FA 2000	1-0 W	2-2 D
Nykobing	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Næsby

WWWLWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-2	0-3	11	6	L
04/08	Kolding BK Denmark Cup	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
01/08	Sundby Denmark Division 3	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Middelfart Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
13/06	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
06/06	FA 2000 Denmark Division 3	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
31/05	Nykobing Denmark Division 3	2-1	2-3	3	5	L
25/05	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
16/05	Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3	1-0	4-1	12	3	W
09/05	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	1-0	5-0	13	3	W

Bronshoj BK

WDLDDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Sundby Denmark Division 3	1-0	3-1	9	5	W
04/08	HB Køge Denmark Cup	1-0	1-0	14	2	W
31/07	Ishoj Denmark Division 3	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
25/07	Hellerup IK Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	2	0	D
22/07	Avarta Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
11/07	Fremad Amager Club Friendly List	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	FA 2000 Denmark Division 3	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/06	Nykobing Denmark Division 3	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
29/05	Vanløse Denmark Division 3	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
22/05	Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3	2-0	3-2	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Næsby vs Bronshoj BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Næsby win (40%). Probabilities: Næsby 40%, draw 25%, Bronshoj BK 35%.

How many goals are expected in Næsby vs Bronshoj BK?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Næsby 1.7 · Bronshoj BK 1.59), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Næsby vs Bronshoj BK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.