Football · Denmark Division 3 · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Sundby vs Vanløse

Team pages: Sundby · Vanløse

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Sundby1.46
Vanløse1.37
1X2
39% 26% 35%
Sundby Draw Vanløse
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sundby 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLDLWLWW
Vanløse 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDWWDD
Head-to-head
Sundby 2–1 Vanløse (3 last)
  • Sundby1-0Vanløse
  • Sundby3-2Vanløse
  • Vanløse3-0Sundby
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sundby 1483 · Vanløse 1533
SundbyDrawVanløse
Our model38%27%34%
Market39%26%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vanløse (rating 1483 vs 1533).
  • H2H favours Sundby: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SundbyVanløse
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.51.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.81 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.82.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 05.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sundby 2–0–1 Vanløse

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Denmark Division 3
Sundby1-0
HT 0-0
Vanløse
02/09/25
Denmark Cup
Sundby3-2
HT 1-2
Vanløse
29/08/25
Denmark Division 3
Vanløse3-0
HT 1-0
Sundby

Standings · Denmark Division 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Holbæk 9612 241719
2 Bronshoj BK 9531 17918
3 FC Helsingor 9522 171117
4 Vanløse 9441 15916
5 ASA Aarhus 9513 131216
6 Næsby 9423 161414
7 Holstebro 9414 161813
8 Sundby 9315 141510
9 Horsholm-Usserod IK 9234 17189
10 Frem 9225 16188
11 Ishoj 9216 7177
12 Ringsted IF 9117 11254

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSundbyVanløse
Frem 3-0 W 2-2 D
Holstebro 2-0 W 2-1 W
FC Helsingor 1-2 L 2-2 D
ASA Aarhus 1-0 W 1-2 L
Ringsted IF 0-2 L 2-0 W
Horsholm-Usserod IK 4-4 D 1-1 D
Bronshoj BK 1-3 L 1-1 D
Næsby 1-2 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vanløse (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sundby

DLLLDLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Frem
Denmark Division 3
1-0 3-0 55 W
19/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 112 W
13/09 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
1-2 1-2 67 L
05/09 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-0 51 W
29/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-1 0-2 –– L
22/08 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
2-2 4-4 –– D
15/08 Holbæk
Denmark Division 3
0-0 1-2 03 L
08/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
0-1 1-3 –– L
01/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
0-2 1-2 –– L
13/06 Frem
Denmark Division 3
0-0 0-0 27 D

Vanløse

LDWLWDWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Division 3
1-1 1-1 37 D
19/09 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-1 –– D
13/09 Ishoj
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-0 17 W
05/09 Holstebro
Denmark Division 3
2-1 2-1 56 W
29/08 Frem
Denmark Division 3
2-0 2-2 43 D
22/08 Ringsted IF
Denmark Division 3
0-0 2-0 –– W
15/08 ASA Aarhus
Denmark Division 3
1-0 1-2 17 L
08/08 Næsby
Denmark Division 3
2-0 3-0 –– W
31/07 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 3
0-2 2-2 –– D
13/06 Nykobing
Denmark Division 3
0-4 1-5 92 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sundby vs Vanløse?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sundby win (39%). Probabilities: Sundby 39%, draw 26%, Vanløse 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sundby vs Vanløse?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Sundby 1.46 · Vanløse 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sundby vs Vanløse?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.