Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Slovan Sabinov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Team pages: Slovan Sabinov · FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Slovan Sabinov0.95

FC Lokomotiva Kosice1.73

1X2

20% 25% 55%

Slovan Sabinov Draw FC Lokomotiva Kosice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Sabinov 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDLDD

FC Lokomotiva Kosice 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Slovan Sabinov 0–2 FC Lokomotiva Kosice (2 last)

Slovan Sabinov1-2FC Lokomotiva Kosice
FC Lokomotiva Kosice2-1Slovan Sabinov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Sabinov 1419 · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1594

	Slovan Sabinov	Draw	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Our model	20%	26%	54%
Market	21%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lokomotiva Kosice (rating 1419 vs 1594).
H2H favours FC Lokomotiva Kosice: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Sabinov	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 2.1	1.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	2.7 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.80

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +4’	4.33	3.80	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Sabinov 0–0–2 FC Lokomotiva Kosice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	Slovan Sabinov	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
20/09/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2-1 HT 0-0	Slovan Sabinov

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ofk-Sim Raslavice	9	6	1	2	14	12	19
2	FC Lokomotiva Kosice	9	5	3	1	15	4	18
3	MFK Stara Lubovna	9	5	2	2	20	11	17
4	Partizan Bardejov	9	5	1	3	16	14	16
5	Spartak Medzev	9	5	1	3	19	14	16
6	Odeva Lipany	9	5	1	3	22	11	16
7	Spisska Nova Ves	9	5	1	3	12	10	16
8	FK Poprad	9	5	0	4	14	10	15
9	MSK Tesla Stropkov	9	3	2	4	14	11	11
10	Slavia TU Kosice	9	3	1	5	18	19	10
11	MFK Snina	9	2	4	3	8	11	10
12	MFK Vranov nad Toplou	9	2	1	6	8	24	7
13	Slovan Sabinov	9	1	3	5	3	13	6
14	MFK Kezmarok	9	0	1	8	4	23	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Sabinov	FC Lokomotiva Kosice
MFK Kezmarok	0-0 D	3-0 W
MFK Snina	0-0 D	0-0 D
Spartak Medzev	0-3 L	0-0 D
Ofk-Sim Raslavice	0-0 D	3-0 W
FK Poprad	0-2 L	1-2 L
Odeva Lipany	0-2 L	2-0 W
MSK Tesla Stropkov	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lokomotiva Kosice (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Sabinov

LWLLLLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
26/09	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
19/09	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
12/09	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
05/09	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
29/08	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	2	7	L
23/08	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	Spisska Nova Ves Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/05	FK Humenne Slovakia 3. Liga	0-6	0-8	–	–	L

FC Lokomotiva Kosice

DDWLWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	MFK Vranov nad Toplou Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	10	3	W
26/09	Partizan Bardejov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/09	MFK Snina Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
05/09	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
29/08	Ofk-Sim Raslavice Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	3-0	6	5	W
22/08	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Odeva Lipany Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/08	MSK Tesla Stropkov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	FK Poprad Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Sabinov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lokomotiva Kosice win (55%). Probabilities: Slovan Sabinov 20%, draw 25%, FC Lokomotiva Kosice 55%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Sabinov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Slovan Sabinov 0.95 · FC Lokomotiva Kosice 1.73), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Sabinov vs FC Lokomotiva Kosice?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.