Football · Hungary NB II · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Tiszakecske FC vs Fehervar FC

Team pages: Tiszakecske FC · Fehervar FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Tiszakecske FC1.56

Fehervar FC1.38

1X2

41% 27% 33%

Tiszakecske FC Draw Fehervar FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tiszakecske FC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWDWWD

Fehervar FC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Tiszakecske FC 0–1–1 Fehervar FC (2 last)

Tiszakecske FC1-1Fehervar FC
Fehervar FC5-0Tiszakecske FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiszakecske FC 1555 · Fehervar FC 1445

	Tiszakecske FC	Draw	Fehervar FC
Our model	41%	27%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiszakecske FC (rating 1555 vs 1445).
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tiszakecske FC	Fehervar FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.6	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:20 +10’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiszakecske FC 0–1–1 Fehervar FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Fehervar FC
21/09/25 Hungary NB II	Fehervar FC	5-0 HT 2-0	Tiszakecske FC

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	11	7	3	1	29	15	24
2	Kecskemeti TE	11	7	2	2	23	14	23
3	Tiszakecske FC	11	6	5	0	24	15	23
4	Mezokovesd Zsory	11	6	2	3	20	11	20
5	Gyirmot SE	11	6	2	3	19	18	20
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	11	5	5	1	20	14	20
7	FC Ajka	11	5	3	3	16	14	18
8	Diosgyori VTK	11	4	3	4	17	19	15
9	Szentlorinc SE	11	4	2	5	12	15	14
10	Fehervar FC	11	4	0	7	15	14	12
11	BVSC Zuglo	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
12	Karcagi SE	11	2	5	4	16	21	11
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	10	2	4	4	10	14	10
14	FC Nagykanizsa	11	3	0	8	8	16	9
15	Kozarmisleny SE	11	2	1	8	9	20	7
16	Csakvari TK	11	1	1	9	9	26	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tiszakecske FC	Fehervar FC
FC Ajka	4-3 W	1-2 L
Soroksar	3-3 D	0-1 L
Szentlorinc SE	2-0 W	3-0 W
FC Nagykanizsa	2-1 W	0-1 L
Diosgyori VTK	4-1 W	2-1 W
Karcagi SE	3-3 D	1-2 L
Mezokovesd Zsory	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kecskemeti TE	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tiszakecske FC (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tiszakecske FC

DWDWWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-0	2-2	5	1	D
17/10	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	3-1	4-3	7	5	W
20/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	3-1	3-3	3	7	D
05/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	13	2	W
16/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	3-3	4	7	D
08/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	6	8	D

Fehervar FC

LWLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	9	3	L
18/10	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
10/10	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	4	7	W
19/09	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
07/09	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
30/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	7	7	L
15/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
08/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	0	15	W
01/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiszakecske FC vs Fehervar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tiszakecske FC win (41%). Probabilities: Tiszakecske FC 41%, draw 27%, Fehervar FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Tiszakecske FC vs Fehervar FC?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Tiszakecske FC 1.56 · Fehervar FC 1.38), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tiszakecske FC vs Fehervar FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.