Football · Hungary NB II · 10/10, 17:00

Prediction: Fehervar FC vs Szentlorinc SE

Team pages: Fehervar FC · Szentlorinc SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Fehervar FC1.61

Szentlorinc SE0.84

1X2

55% 26% 19%

Fehervar FC Draw Szentlorinc SE

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Fehervar FC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Szentlorinc SE 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWLLLW

Head-to-head

Fehervar FC 1–1–1 Szentlorinc SE (3 last)

Szentlorinc SE2-1Fehervar FC
Fehervar FC0-0Szentlorinc SE
Fehervar FC3-0Szentlorinc SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fehervar FC 1433 · Szentlorinc SE 1525

	Fehervar FC	Draw	Szentlorinc SE
Our model	54%	27%	18%
Market	56%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szentlorinc SE (rating 1433 vs 1525).
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fehervar FC	Szentlorinc SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.2	1.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.7	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +1’	1.60	3.60	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fehervar FC 1–1–1 Szentlorinc SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	2-1 HT 0-1	Fehervar FC
23/11/25 Hungary NB II	Fehervar FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Szentlorinc SE
13/09/25 Hungary Cup	Fehervar FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Szentlorinc SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	8	6	2	0	23	7	20
2	Kecskemeti TE	8	5	2	1	15	8	17
3	Tiszakecske FC	8	4	4	0	17	10	16
4	FC Ajka	7	4	2	1	9	6	14
5	Gyirmot SE	8	4	1	3	13	14	13
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	8	3	4	1	13	11	13
7	Mezokovesd Zsory	7	4	0	3	11	8	12
8	Karcagi SE	8	2	5	1	13	11	11
9	Szentlorinc SE	7	3	1	3	8	9	10
10	Fehervar FC	8	3	0	5	11	11	9
11	FC Nagykanizsa	8	3	0	5	7	10	9
12	Diosgyori VTK	7	2	1	4	8	15	7
13	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	7	1	3	3	6	8	6
14	BVSC Zuglo	7	1	1	5	4	9	4
15	Kozarmisleny SE	8	1	1	6	6	16	4
16	Csakvari TK	8	1	1	6	8	19	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fehervar FC	Szentlorinc SE
FC Nagykanizsa	0-1 L	1-0 W
Karcagi SE	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Szentlorinc SE (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fehervar FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
07/09	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
30/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	7	7	L
15/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
08/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	0	15	W
01/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
25/07	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
17/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	8	2	L
10/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	5	L

Szentlorinc SE

WWWDWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
05/09	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
30/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
23/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-3	3	7	L
16/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-1	3-2	9	7	W
09/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/07	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
10/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
03/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fehervar FC vs Szentlorinc SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fehervar FC win (55%). Probabilities: Fehervar FC 55%, draw 26%, Szentlorinc SE 19%.

How many goals are expected in Fehervar FC vs Szentlorinc SE?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Fehervar FC 1.61 · Szentlorinc SE 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fehervar FC vs Szentlorinc SE?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.