Football · Hungary NB II · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Tiszakecske FC vs Csakvari TK

Team pages: Tiszakecske FC · Csakvari TK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Tiszakecske FC2.21

Csakvari TK1.08

1X2

62% 21% 16%

Tiszakecske FC Draw Csakvari TK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Tiszakecske FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWDWWWDW

Csakvari TK 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Tiszakecske FC 1–3–2 Csakvari TK (6 last)

Tiszakecske FC1-2Csakvari TK
Csakvari TK3-1Tiszakecske FC
Csakvari TK1-2Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC1-1Csakvari TK
Tiszakecske FC1-1Csakvari TK
Csakvari TK1-1Tiszakecske FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiszakecske FC 1517 · Csakvari TK 1458

	Tiszakecske FC	Draw	Csakvari TK
Our model	62%	21%	16%
Market	62%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiszakecske FC (rating 1517 vs 1458).
H2H favours Csakvari TK: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tiszakecske FC	Csakvari TK
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7.3	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	5.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +17’	1.45	4.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiszakecske FC 1–3–2 Csakvari TK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Csakvari TK
26/10/25 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	3-1 HT 1-0	Tiszakecske FC
26/05/24 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	1-2 HT 1-1	Tiszakecske FC
03/12/23 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Csakvari TK
12/02/23 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Csakvari TK
17/08/22 Hungary NB II	Csakvari TK	1-1 HT 1-0	Tiszakecske FC

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
2	Kecskemeti TE	9	6	2	1	17	9	20
3	Tiszakecske FC	9	5	4	0	21	13	19
4	Gyirmot SE	9	5	1	3	14	14	16
5	Kazincbarcikai BSC	9	4	4	1	16	11	16
6	FC Ajka	8	4	2	2	12	10	14
7	Mezokovesd Zsory	8	4	1	3	12	9	13
8	Fehervar FC	9	4	0	5	14	11	12
9	Szentlorinc SE	9	3	2	4	9	13	11
10	Diosgyori VTK	9	3	2	4	11	16	11
11	Karcagi SE	9	2	5	2	13	14	11
12	FC Nagykanizsa	9	3	0	6	7	11	9
13	BVSC Zuglo	8	2	1	5	9	11	7
14	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	8	1	4	3	7	9	7
15	Csakvari TK	9	1	1	7	9	21	4
16	Kozarmisleny SE	9	1	1	7	6	18	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tiszakecske FC	Csakvari TK
FC Ajka	4-3 W	0-1 L
Soroksar	3-3 D	0-6 L
Szentlorinc SE	2-0 W	2-3 L
FC Nagykanizsa	2-1 W	1-2 L
Kecskemeti TE	1-1 D	1-2 L
Szeged-Csanad Grosics	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tiszakecske FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tiszakecske FC

LDDWDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	3-1	4-3	7	5	W
20/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	3-1	3-3	3	7	D
05/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	13	2	W
16/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	3-3	4	7	D
08/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
25/07	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-2	1-2	10	4	L

Csakvari TK

WLLWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	2	10	L
19/09	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
30/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-3	0-6	1	2	L
23/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
16/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-3	2-3	5	7	L
09/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
02/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	10	8	L
26/07	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	8	7	L
17/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiszakecske FC vs Csakvari TK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tiszakecske FC win (62%). Probabilities: Tiszakecske FC 62%, draw 21%, Csakvari TK 16%.

How many goals are expected in Tiszakecske FC vs Csakvari TK?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Tiszakecske FC 2.21 · Csakvari TK 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tiszakecske FC vs Csakvari TK?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.