Football · Hungary NB II · 18/10, 13:00

Prediction: Karcagi SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Team pages: Karcagi SE · Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Karcagi SE1.01

Szeged-Csanad Grosics1.31

1X2

28% 29% 43%

Karcagi SE Draw Szeged-Csanad Grosics

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Karcagi SE 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDDWWLDL

Szeged-Csanad Grosics 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWDDLD

Head-to-head

Karcagi SE 1–1–0 Szeged-Csanad Grosics (2 last)

Karcagi SE1-0Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Szeged-Csanad Grosics2-2Karcagi SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karcagi SE 1479 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics 1501

	Karcagi SE	Draw	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Our model	27%	30%	42%
Market	29%	28%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karcagi SE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.8	4.1 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	6.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.25

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.34 ★
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	2.25 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +5’	2.88	3.20	2.25
15:56 +6’	3.10▲	3.25▲	2.05▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:27 +35’	3.34	3.14	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karcagi SE 1–1–0 Szeged-Csanad Grosics

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Hungary NB II	Karcagi SE	1-0 HT 1-0	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
10/08/25 Hungary NB II	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	2-2 HT 0-1	Karcagi SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
2	Kecskemeti TE	10	6	2	2	18	12	20
3	Tiszakecske FC	9	5	4	0	21	13	19
4	Mezokovesd Zsory	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
5	Gyirmot SE	9	5	1	3	14	14	16
6	Kazincbarcikai BSC	9	4	4	1	16	11	16
7	FC Ajka	9	4	3	2	13	11	15
8	Fehervar FC	9	4	0	5	14	11	12
9	Szentlorinc SE	9	3	2	4	9	13	11
10	Diosgyori VTK	9	3	2	4	11	16	11
11	Karcagi SE	9	2	5	2	13	14	11
12	FC Nagykanizsa	10	3	0	7	7	14	9
13	BVSC Zuglo	8	2	1	5	9	11	7
14	Kozarmisleny SE	10	2	1	7	9	18	7
15	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	8	1	4	3	7	9	7
16	Csakvari TK	9	1	1	7	9	21	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karcagi SE	Szeged-Csanad Grosics
Kazincbarcikai BSC	0-3 L	1-1 D
Kozarmisleny SE	1-1 D	2-1 W
Gyirmot SE	0-2 L	0-1 L
Fehervar FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Tiszakecske FC	3-3 D	1-1 D
FC Ajka	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Szeged-Csanad Grosics (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karcagi SE

LDDDDWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
20/09	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/09	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
30/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
22/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	4-1	1	4	W
16/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-0	3-3	6	7	D
08/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
02/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
26/07	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
17/05	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	7	L

Szeged-Csanad Grosics

WLDLLWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
19/09	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	2-1	2-2	7	6	D
31/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	4	9	D
22/08	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
15/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
08/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	15	L
25/07	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
10/05	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karcagi SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Szeged-Csanad Grosics win (43%). Probabilities: Karcagi SE 28%, draw 29%, Szeged-Csanad Grosics 43%.

How many goals are expected in Karcagi SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Karcagi SE 1.01 · Szeged-Csanad Grosics 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Karcagi SE vs Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.