Football · Hungary NB II · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: FC Ajka vs BVSC Zuglo

Team pages: FC Ajka · BVSC Zuglo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

FC Ajka1.25

BVSC Zuglo1.17

1X2

38% 29% 34%

FC Ajka Draw BVSC Zuglo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ajka 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWWLWL

BVSC Zuglo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

FC Ajka 1–2–3 BVSC Zuglo (6 last)

FC Ajka2-2BVSC Zuglo
FC Ajka0-2BVSC Zuglo
BVSC Zuglo4-0FC Ajka
BVSC Zuglo0-0FC Ajka
BVSC Zuglo1-2FC Ajka
FC Ajka0-1BVSC Zuglo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ajka 1474 · BVSC Zuglo 1489

	FC Ajka	Draw	BVSC Zuglo
Our model	37%	30%	33%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours BVSC Zuglo: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ajka	BVSC Zuglo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.9	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +10’	2.35	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ajka 1–2–3 BVSC Zuglo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Hungary Cup	FC Ajka	2-2 HT 1-0	BVSC Zuglo
01/02/26 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-2 HT 0-1	BVSC Zuglo
27/07/25 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	4-0 HT 2-0	FC Ajka
18/05/25 Hungary NB II	BVSC Zuglo	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Ajka
18/01/25 Europe Friendlies	BVSC Zuglo	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Ajka
24/11/24 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-1 HT 0-0	BVSC Zuglo

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	9	6	2	1	25	12	20
2	Kecskemeti TE	9	6	2	1	17	9	20
3	Tiszakecske FC	9	5	4	0	21	13	19
4	Gyirmot SE	9	5	1	3	14	14	16
5	Kazincbarcikai BSC	9	4	4	1	16	11	16
6	FC Ajka	8	4	2	2	12	10	14
7	Mezokovesd Zsory	8	4	1	3	12	9	13
8	Fehervar FC	9	4	0	5	14	11	12
9	Szentlorinc SE	9	3	2	4	9	13	11
10	Diosgyori VTK	9	3	2	4	11	16	11
11	Karcagi SE	9	2	5	2	13	14	11
12	FC Nagykanizsa	9	3	0	6	7	11	9
13	BVSC Zuglo	8	2	1	5	9	11	7
14	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	8	1	4	3	7	9	7
15	Csakvari TK	9	1	1	7	9	21	4
16	Kozarmisleny SE	9	1	1	7	6	18	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ajka	BVSC Zuglo
Soroksar	0-3 L	5-2 W
Szentlorinc SE	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Nagykanizsa	2-0 W	0-1 L
Diosgyori VTK	1-1 D	2-0 W
Karcagi SE	1-1 D	1-4 L
Kecskemeti TE	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Ajka (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ajka

LLWDDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-3	3-4	0	5	L
19/09	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
25/07	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/05	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
10/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

BVSC Zuglo

DWDLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Soroksar Hungary NB II	1-0	5-2	5	1	W
20/09	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	11	7	L
05/09	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
29/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
22/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-4	6	4	L
15/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
08/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
25/07	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
17/05	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	0	3	W
10/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ajka vs BVSC Zuglo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ajka win (38%). Probabilities: FC Ajka 38%, draw 29%, BVSC Zuglo 34%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ajka vs BVSC Zuglo?

The model expects 2.42 goals (FC Ajka 1.25 · BVSC Zuglo 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ajka vs BVSC Zuglo?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.